Viendo archivo del sábado, 17 octubre 1998
Informe actividad solar
Any mentioned solar flare in this report has a scaling factor applied by the Space Weather Prediction Center (SWPC). Because of the SWPC scaling factor, solar flares are reported as 42% smaller than for the science quality data. The scaling factor has been removed from our archived solar flare data to reflect the true physical units.
Informe de actividad Solar-Geofísica 1998 Oct 17 2200 UTCPreparado por NOAA © SWPC y procesado por SpaceWeatherLive.com
Informe conjunto USAF/NOAA de actividad Solar y Geofísica
SDF Número 290 Publicado el 2200Z a las 17 OCT 1998IA. Análisis de regiones solares activas y de actividad desde 16-2100Z hasta 17-2100Z SOLAR ACTIVITY WAS LOW. A C9/1F FLARE WAS OBSERVED
FROM REGION 8358 (N16W55) AT 17/1851UT. REGION 8364 (N18E24), A
4-SPOT BETA GROUP, WAS NUMBERED TODAY.
IB. Pronóstico de la actividad solar
SOLAR ACTIVITY IS EXPECTED TO BE VERY
LOW TO LOW.
IIA. Resumen de la actividad geofísica 16-2100Z a 17-2100Z
THE GEOMAGNETIC FIELD HAS BEEN QUIET TO UNSETTLED.
IIB. Pronóstico de la actividad geofísica
THE GEOMAGNETIC FIELD IS
EXPECTED TO BE ACTIVE WITH ISOLATED MINOR STORM CONDITIONS OVER THE
NEXT TWO DAYS DUE TO THE 15 OCT CME.
III. Probabilidades del evento 18 OCT a 20 OCT
| Clase M | 15% | 15% | 15% |
| Clase X | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| Protón | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| PCAF | GREEN | ||
IV. Penticton 10.7cm flujo
Observado 17 OCT 135 Previsto 18 OCT-20 OCT 135/140/140 Media de 90 Días 17 OCT 131
V. Índices Geomagnéticos A
OBSERVED AFR/AP 16 OCT 008/004 ESTIMATED AFR/AP 17 OCT 011/008 PREDICTED AFR/AP 18 OCT-20 OCT 015/020-025/025-015/015
VI. Probabilidades de Actividad Geomagnética 18 OCT a 20 OCT
| A. Latitudes Medias | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Activo | 50% | 50% | 20% |
| Tormenta Menor | 35% | 35% | 10% |
| Tormenta Mayor-Severa | 10% | 10% | 05% |
| B. Latitudes Altas | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Activo | 50% | 50% | 30% |
| Tormenta Menor | 40% | 40% | 25% |
| Tormenta Mayor-Severa | 10% | 10% | 10% |
All times in UTC
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