Viendo archivo del domingo, 11 julio 1999
Informe actividad solar
Any mentioned solar flare in this report has a scaling factor applied by the Space Weather Prediction Center (SWPC). Because of the SWPC scaling factor, solar flares are reported as 42% smaller than for the science quality data. The scaling factor has been removed from our archived solar flare data to reflect the true physical units.
Informe de actividad Solar-Geofísica 1999 Jul 11 2200 UTCPreparado por NOAA © SWPC y procesado por SpaceWeatherLive.com
Informe conjunto USAF/NOAA de actividad Solar y Geofísica
SDF Número 192 Publicado el 2200Z a las 11 JUL 1999IA. Análisis de regiones solares activas y de actividad desde 10-2100Z hasta 11-2100Z SOLAR ACTIVITY WAS LOW. THE LARGEST EVENT WAS A C3/1N
FROM REGION 8628 (N18E21) AT 11/0009UT. THIS EVENT WAS ACCOMPANIED
BY MINOR RADIO, INCLUDING A TYPE II SWEEP. REGION 8628 IS GROWING
SLOWLY AND SHOWING SOME MAGNETIC COMPLEXITY. NUMEROUS SUBFLARES
WERE ALSO OBSERVED FROM REGIONS 8626 (S20W70) AND 8615 (S30W55).
NEW REGION 8631 (N10E78) APPEARS TO BE THE RETURN OF REGION 8604
(N12 L-050). REGION 8632 (S20W57) IS SLOWLY EMERGING. ALSO OF NOTE
IS THE EXTENDED REGION 8627 (S14E33).
IB. Pronóstico de la actividad solar
SOLAR ACTIVITY IS EXPECTED TO BE LOW.
C-CLASS FLARE ACTIVITY IS LIKELY FROM REGIONS 8615, 8626, 8627, AND
8628. AN ISOLATED M-CLASS FLARE IS POSSIBLE.
IIA. Resumen de la actividad geofísica 10-2100Z a 11-2100Z
THE GEOMAGNETIC FIELD HAS BEEN QUIET.
IIB. Pronóstico de la actividad geofísica
THE GEOMAGNETIC FIELD IS
EXPECTED TO BE QUIET.
III. Probabilidades del evento 12 JUL a 14 JUL
| Clase M | 30% | 30% | 30% |
| Clase X | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| Protón | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| PCAF | GREEN | ||
IV. Penticton 10.7cm flujo
Observado 11 JUL 153 Previsto 12 JUL-14 JUL 150/149/147 Media de 90 Días 11 JUL 151
V. Índices Geomagnéticos A
OBSERVED AFR/AP 10 JUL 004/005 ESTIMATED AFR/AP 11 JUL 005/005 PREDICTED AFR/AP 12 JUL-14 JUL 005/005-005/005-005/005
VI. Probabilidades de Actividad Geomagnética 12 JUL a 14 JUL
| A. Latitudes Medias | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Activo | 10% | 10% | 10% |
| Tormenta Menor | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| Tormenta Mayor-Severa | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| B. Latitudes Altas | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Activo | 15% | 15% | 15% |
| Tormenta Menor | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| Tormenta Mayor-Severa | 01% | 01% | 01% |
All times in UTC
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