Viendo archivo del viernes, 13 agosto 1999

Informe actividad solar

Any mentioned solar flare in this report has a scaling factor applied by the Space Weather Prediction Center (SWPC). Because of the SWPC scaling factor, solar flares are reported as 42% smaller than for the science quality data. The scaling factor has been removed from our archived solar flare data to reflect the true physical units.
Informe de actividad Solar-Geofísica 1999 Aug 13 2200 UTC
Preparado por NOAA © SWPC y procesado por SpaceWeatherLive.com

Informe conjunto USAF/NOAA de actividad Solar y Geofísica

SDF Número 225 Publicado el 2200Z a las 13 AUG 1999

IA. Análisis de regiones solares activas y de actividad desde 12-2100Z hasta 13-2100Z

SOLAR ACTIVITY WAS LOW. REGION 8662 (S16W33) PRODUCED SEVERAL C-CLASS FLARES, THE LARGEST OF WHICH WAS A C4/SF AT 13/1559UT. DECAY, PARTICULARLY IN THE TRAILER SUNSPOTS, IS CONTINUING. NEW REGION 8668 (N21E75) IS ROTATING AROUND THE EAST LIMB.
IB. Pronóstico de la actividad solar
SOLAR ACTIVITY IS EXPECTED TO BE LOW TO MODERATE. C-CLASS FLARES ARE EXPECTED IN REGION 8662. A LOW-LEVEL M-CLASS FLARE IS ALSO POSSIBLE IN THIS REGION.
IIA. Resumen de la actividad geofísica 12-2100Z a 13-2100Z
THE GEOMAGNETIC FIELD RANGED FROM QUIET TO ACTIVE. A SINGLE ACTIVE PERIOD OCCURRED FROM 13/0300-0600UT.
IIB. Pronóstico de la actividad geofísica
THE GEOMAGNETIC FIELD IS EXPECTED TO BE QUIET TO UNSETTLED.
III. Probabilidades del evento 14 AUG a 16 AUG
Clase M10%10%10%
Clase X01%01%01%
Protón01%01%01%
PCAFGREEN
IV. Penticton 10.7cm flujo
  Observado       13 AUG 127
  Previsto   14 AUG-16 AUG  128/130/132
  Media de 90 Días        13 AUG 163
V. Índices Geomagnéticos A
OBSERVED AFR/AP 12 AUG  008/010
ESTIMATED AFR/AP 13 AUG  010/010
PREDICTED AFR/AP 14 AUG-16 AUG  010/010-010/008-010/008
VI. Probabilidades de Actividad Geomagnética 14 AUG a 16 AUG
A. Latitudes Medias
Activo15%15%15%
Tormenta Menor01%01%01%
Tormenta Mayor-Severa01%01%01%
B. Latitudes Altas
Activo15%15%15%
Tormenta Menor05%05%05%
Tormenta Mayor-Severa01%01%01%

All times in UTC

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