Viendo archivo del viernes, 3 diciembre 1999
Informe actividad solar
Any mentioned solar flare in this report has a scaling factor applied by the Space Weather Prediction Center (SWPC). Because of the SWPC scaling factor, solar flares are reported as 42% smaller than for the science quality data. The scaling factor has been removed from our archived solar flare data to reflect the true physical units.
Informe de actividad Solar-Geofísica 1999 Dec 03 2200 UTCPreparado por NOAA © SWPC y procesado por SpaceWeatherLive.com
Informe conjunto USAF/NOAA de actividad Solar y Geofísica
SDF Número 337 Publicado el 2200Z a las 03 DEC 1999IA. Análisis de regiones solares activas y de actividad desde 02-2100Z hasta 03-2100Z SOLAR ACTIVITY WAS LOW. THE DAY'S LARGEST EVENT WAS AN
UNOBSERVED IMPULSIVE C6 AT 1953Z. FOUR NEW ACTIVE REGIONS WERE
NUMBERED DURING THE PERIOD. THEY ARE 8786 (N22W23), 8787 (N11E30),
8788 (N10E66), AND 8789 (N29W23). SATELLITE DATA SUGGEST YET ANOTHER
REGION MAY BE SOON TO APPEAR AROUND N10 AT THE EAST LIMB.
IB. Pronóstico de la actividad solar
SOLAR ACTIVITY IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE
AT THE LOW LEVEL.
IIA. Resumen de la actividad geofísica 02-2100Z a 03-2100Z
THE GEOMAGNETIC FIELD WAS QUIET TO ACTIVE. SOLAR WIND DATA INDICATE
ELEVATED SOLAR WIND SPEEDS, CHARACTERISTIC OF A CORONAL HOLE-RELATED
STREAM.
IIB. Pronóstico de la actividad geofísica
THE GEOMAGNETIC FIELD IS
EXPECTED TO BE UNSETTLED TO ACTIVE FOR THE NEXT THREE DAYS. THE HIGH
SPEED STREAM SHOULD PERSIST THROUGHOUT THE PERIOD.
III. Probabilidades del evento 04 DEC a 06 DEC
| Clase M | 20% | 20% | 20% |
| Clase X | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| Protón | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| PCAF | GREEN | ||
IV. Penticton 10.7cm flujo
Observado 03 DEC 152 Previsto 04 DEC-06 DEC 160/170/180 Media de 90 Días 03 DEC 165
V. Índices Geomagnéticos A
OBSERVED AFR/AP 02 DEC 003/004 ESTIMATED AFR/AP 03 DEC 014/014 PREDICTED AFR/AP 04 DEC-06 DEC 015/020-015/025-015/018
VI. Probabilidades de Actividad Geomagnética 04 DEC a 06 DEC
| A. Latitudes Medias | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Activo | 30% | 40% | 40% |
| Tormenta Menor | 10% | 15% | 15% |
| Tormenta Mayor-Severa | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| B. Latitudes Altas | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Activo | 40% | 50% | 50% |
| Tormenta Menor | 15% | 20% | 20% |
| Tormenta Mayor-Severa | 01% | 01% | 01% |
All times in UTC
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