Viendo archivo del sábado, 4 diciembre 1999

Informe actividad solar

Any mentioned solar flare in this report has a scaling factor applied by the Space Weather Prediction Center (SWPC). Because of the SWPC scaling factor, solar flares are reported as 42% smaller than for the science quality data. The scaling factor has been removed from our archived solar flare data to reflect the true physical units.
Informe de actividad Solar-Geofísica 1999 Dec 04 2200 UTC
Preparado por NOAA © SWPC y procesado por SpaceWeatherLive.com

Informe conjunto USAF/NOAA de actividad Solar y Geofísica

SDF Número 338 Publicado el 2200Z a las 04 DEC 1999

IA. Análisis de regiones solares activas y de actividad desde 03-2100Z hasta 04-2100Z

SOLAR ACTIVITY WAS LOW. OCCASIONAL SMALL C-CLASS EVENTS OCCURRED, WITH REGION 8788 (N10E56) BEING THE MOST PRODUCTIVE DISK REGION. SURGING HAS BEEN SEEN MOST OF THE DAY NEAR N10W90, WHERE REGION 8782 IS MAKING ITS TRANSIT. THE STATE OF THE DISK CAN BE DESCRIBED AS QUIET AND STABLE.
IB. Pronóstico de la actividad solar
SOLAR ACTIVITY IS EXPECTED TO PERSIST AT THE LOW LEVEL.
IIA. Resumen de la actividad geofísica 03-2100Z a 04-2100Z
THE GEOMAGNETIC FIELD VARIED FROM QUIET TO MAJOR STORM CONDITIONS. HIGH-SPEED SOLAR WIND, MEASURING NEAR 700 KM/S, CONTINUES TO BUFFET THE MAGNETOPAUSE AND FUEL THE CURRENT DISTURBANCE.
IIB. Pronóstico de la actividad geofísica
THE GEOMAGNETIC FIELD IS EXPECTED TO BE AT ACTIVE TO MINOR STORM LEVELS FOR THE NEXT 48 HOURS. THE INTENSITY OF THE CURRENT DISTURBANCE SHOULD WEAKEN BY THE END OF THE INTERVAL.
III. Probabilidades del evento 05 DEC a 07 DEC
Clase M10%10%10%
Clase X01%01%01%
Protón01%01%01%
PCAFGREEN
IV. Penticton 10.7cm flujo
  Observado       04 DEC 148
  Previsto   05 DEC-07 DEC  150/155/160
  Media de 90 Días        04 DEC 165
V. Índices Geomagnéticos A
OBSERVED AFR/AP 03 DEC  009/013
ESTIMATED AFR/AP 04 DEC  022/034
PREDICTED AFR/AP 05 DEC-07 DEC  020/030-020/020-015/018
VI. Probabilidades de Actividad Geomagnética 05 DEC a 07 DEC
A. Latitudes Medias
Activo50%50%40%
Tormenta Menor25%25%15%
Tormenta Mayor-Severa10%10%05%
B. Latitudes Altas
Activo55%55%50%
Tormenta Menor30%30%25%
Tormenta Mayor-Severa10%10%05%

All times in UTC

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