Viendo archivo del sábado, 29 enero 2000

Informe actividad solar

Any mentioned solar flare in this report has a scaling factor applied by the Space Weather Prediction Center (SWPC). Because of the SWPC scaling factor, solar flares are reported as 42% smaller than for the science quality data. The scaling factor has been removed from our archived solar flare data to reflect the true physical units.
Informe de actividad Solar-Geofísica 2000 Jan 29 2200 UTC
Preparado por NOAA © SWPC y procesado por SpaceWeatherLive.com

Informe conjunto USAF/NOAA de actividad Solar y Geofísica

SDF Número 029 Publicado el 2200Z a las 29 JAN 2000

IA. Análisis de regiones solares activas y de actividad desde 28-2100Z hasta 29-2100Z

SOLAR ACTIVITY WAS VERY LOW DURING THE LAST 24 HOURS. REGION 8841 (S30W35) IS CURRENTLY THE LARGEST GROUP ON THE DISK BUT WAS STABLE AND QUIET. REGION 8845 (S16W34) EXHIBITED A SLOW GROWTH TREND. SURGING WAS SEEN ON THE WEST LIMB WITH THE DEPARTURE OF REGION 8844 (N06W83).
IB. Pronóstico de la actividad solar
SOLAR ACTIVITY IS EXPECTED TO BE LOW FOR THE NEXT THREE DAYS.
IIA. Resumen de la actividad geofísica 28-2100Z a 29-2100Z
THE GEOMAGNETIC FIELD WAS MOSTLY ACTIVE DURING THE PAST 24 HOURS. THERE WAS A PERIOD OF MINOR STORM LEVELS AT HIGH LATITUDES FROM 1200-1500Z. SOLAR WIND OBSERVATIONS CONTINUE TO SHOW A PERSISTING HIGH-SPEED CORONAL HOLE STREAM. THE GREATER THAN 2 MEV ELECTRON FLUXES ATTAINED HIGH LEVELS DURING THE PAST 24 HOURS.
IIB. Pronóstico de la actividad geofísica
THE GEOMAGNETIC FIELD IS EXPECTED TO BE ACTIVE FOR THE NEXT 24 HOURS. A SLOW DECLINE TO UNSETTLED TO ACTIVE LEVELS IS ANTICIPATED FOR THE SECOND AND THIRD DAYS AS THE INFLUENCE OF THE CORONAL HOLE BEGINS TO SLOWLY WANE.
III. Probabilidades del evento 30 JAN a 01 FEB
Clase M15%15%15%
Clase X01%01%01%
Protón01%01%01%
PCAFGREEN
IV. Penticton 10.7cm flujo
  Observado       29 JAN 128
  Previsto   30 JAN-01 FEB  130/130/130
  Media de 90 Días        29 JAN 174
V. Índices Geomagnéticos A
OBSERVED AFR/AP 28 JAN  022/029
ESTIMATED AFR/AP 29 JAN  025/025
PREDICTED AFR/AP 30 JAN-01 FEB  020/025-015/020-015/015
VI. Probabilidades de Actividad Geomagnética 30 JAN a 01 FEB
A. Latitudes Medias
Activo40%35%35%
Tormenta Menor15%10%10%
Tormenta Mayor-Severa10%05%05%
B. Latitudes Altas
Activo45%50%50%
Tormenta Menor15%10%10%
Tormenta Mayor-Severa10%05%05%

All times in UTC

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