Viendo archivo del martes, 1 febrero 2000
Informe actividad solar
Any mentioned solar flare in this report has a scaling factor applied by the Space Weather Prediction Center (SWPC). Because of the SWPC scaling factor, solar flares are reported as 42% smaller than for the science quality data. The scaling factor has been removed from our archived solar flare data to reflect the true physical units.
Informe de actividad Solar-Geofísica 2000 Feb 01 2200 UTCPreparado por NOAA © SWPC y procesado por SpaceWeatherLive.com
Informe conjunto USAF/NOAA de actividad Solar y Geofísica
SDF Número 032 Publicado el 2200Z a las 01 FEB 2000IA. Análisis de regiones solares activas y de actividad desde 31-2100Z hasta 01-2100Z SOLAR ACTIVITY REMAINED LOW. A SINGLE C-CLASS X-RAY
FLARE WAS DETECTED DURING THE PERIOD. MINOR GROWTH WAS NOTED IN
REGIONS 8851 (N27E16) AND 8852 (N10E00). ALL THE VISIBLE REGIONS
WERE SMALL AND SIMPLY-STRUCTURED INCLUDING NEW REGIONS 8853 (S10E64)
AND 8854 (S33E81).
IB. Pronóstico de la actividad solar
SOLAR ACTIVITY IS EXPECTED TO REMAIN
AT LOW LEVELS WITH ISOLATED C-CLASS FLARES POSSIBLE FROM REGIONS
8851 AND 8852.
IIA. Resumen de la actividad geofísica 31-2100Z a 01-2100Z
GEOMAGNETIC FIELD ACTIVITY RANGED FROM QUIET TO UNSETTLED LEVELS. THE
GREATER THAN 2 MEV ELECTRON FLUX AT GEOSYNCHONOUS ORBIT REMAINED AT
MODERATE TO HIGH LEVELS.
IIB. Pronóstico de la actividad geofísica
GEOMAGNETIC FIELD ACTIVITY IS
EXPECTED TO REMAIN AT QUIET TO UNSETTLED LEVELS. THE GREATER THAN 2
MEV ELECTRON FLUX AT GEOSYNCHRONOUS ORBIT IS EXPECTED TO DECLINE TO
NORMAL TO MODERATE LEVELS DURING THE FINAL TWO DAYS OF THE FORECAST
PERIOD.
III. Probabilidades del evento 02 FEB a 04 FEB
| Clase M | 10% | 10% | 10% |
| Clase X | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| Protón | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| PCAF | GREEN | ||
IV. Penticton 10.7cm flujo
Observado 01 FEB 138 Previsto 02 FEB-04 FEB 140/140/145 Media de 90 Días 01 FEB 174
V. Índices Geomagnéticos A
OBSERVED AFR/AP 31 JAN 007/006 ESTIMATED AFR/AP 01 FEB 007/010 PREDICTED AFR/AP 02 FEB-04 FEB 007/010-005/010-005/005
VI. Probabilidades de Actividad Geomagnética 02 FEB a 04 FEB
| A. Latitudes Medias | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Activo | 10% | 10% | 10% |
| Tormenta Menor | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| Tormenta Mayor-Severa | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| B. Latitudes Altas | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Activo | 15% | 15% | 15% |
| Tormenta Menor | 05% | 05% | 05% |
| Tormenta Mayor-Severa | 01% | 01% | 01% |
All times in UTC
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