Viendo archivo del lunes, 28 febrero 2000
Informe actividad solar
Any mentioned solar flare in this report has a scaling factor applied by the Space Weather Prediction Center (SWPC). Because of the SWPC scaling factor, solar flares are reported as 42% smaller than for the science quality data. The scaling factor has been removed from our archived solar flare data to reflect the true physical units.
Informe de actividad Solar-Geofísica 2000 Feb 28 2200 UTCPreparado por NOAA © SWPC y procesado por SpaceWeatherLive.com
Informe conjunto USAF/NOAA de actividad Solar y Geofísica
SDF Número 059 Publicado el 2200Z a las 28 FEB 2000IA. Análisis de regiones solares activas y de actividad desde 27-2100Z hasta 28-2100Z SOLAR ACTIVITY HAS BEEN LOW. NO MORE THAN CLASS C
FLARES HAVE BEEN OBSERVED.
IB. Pronóstico de la actividad solar
SOLAR ACTIVITY IS EXPECTED TO BE LOW
TO MODERATE.
IIA. Resumen de la actividad geofísica 27-2100Z a 28-2100Z
THE GEOMAGNETIC FIELD HAS BEEN QUIET TO UNSETTLED. SOLAR WIND
CONDITIONS REMAIN TYPICAL OF THOSE ASSOCIATED WITH A CORONAL HOLE.
VELOCITIES HAVE REMAINED IN THE 600 TO 700 KM PER SECOND RANGE.
ENERGETIC ELECTRON FLUXES GREATER THAN 2 MEV AT GEOSYNCHRONOUS ORBIT
REMAINED AT HIGH LEVELS.
IIB. Pronóstico de la actividad geofísica
GEOMAGNETIC ACTIVITY IS
EXPECTED TO BE UNSETTLED TO ACTIVE OVER THE NEXT THREE DAYS.
OFF-AXIS EFFECTS OF A CORONAL MASS EJECTION ON 26 FEBRUARY AND A
TYPE II SHOCK REPORTED AT 28/1027 Z HAVE SOME SMALL POTENTIAL FOR
PRODUCING GEOMAGNETIC ACTIVITY OVER THE NEXT 3 DAYS. ENERGETIC
ELECTRON FLUX AT GEOSYNCHRONOUS ORBIT ARE LIKELY TO REMAIN ABOVE
ALERT THRESHOLD FOR AT LEAST ANOTHER DAY.
III. Probabilidades del evento 29 FEB a 02 MAR
| Clase M | 70% | 70% | 70% |
| Clase X | 20% | 20% | 20% |
| Protón | 10% | 10% | 10% |
| PCAF | GREEN | ||
IV. Penticton 10.7cm flujo
Observado 28 FEB 219 Previsto 29 FEB-02 MAR 220/220/220 Media de 90 Días 28 FEB 167
V. Índices Geomagnéticos A
OBSERVED AFR/AP 27 FEB 006/010 ESTIMATED AFR/AP 28 FEB 012/014 PREDICTED AFR/AP 29 FEB-02 MAR 012/010-012/025-012/012
VI. Probabilidades de Actividad Geomagnética 29 FEB a 02 MAR
| A. Latitudes Medias | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Activo | 07% | 06% | 06% |
| Tormenta Menor | 03% | 03% | 03% |
| Tormenta Mayor-Severa | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| B. Latitudes Altas | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Activo | 09% | 07% | 08% |
| Tormenta Menor | 04% | 04% | 05% |
| Tormenta Mayor-Severa | 01% | 01% | 01% |
All times in UTC
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