Viendo archivo del martes, 29 febrero 2000
Informe actividad solar
Any mentioned solar flare in this report has a scaling factor applied by the Space Weather Prediction Center (SWPC). Because of the SWPC scaling factor, solar flares are reported as 42% smaller than for the science quality data. The scaling factor has been removed from our archived solar flare data to reflect the true physical units.
Informe de actividad Solar-Geofísica 2000 Feb 29 2200 UTCPreparado por NOAA © SWPC y procesado por SpaceWeatherLive.com
Informe conjunto USAF/NOAA de actividad Solar y Geofísica
SDF Número 060 Publicado el 2200Z a las 29 FEB 2000IA. Análisis de regiones solares activas y de actividad desde 28-2100Z hasta 29-2100Z SOLAR ACTIVITY HAS BEEN LOW.
IB. Pronóstico de la actividad solar
SOLAR ACTIVITY IS EXPECTED TO BE LOW
TO MODERATE WITH A GOOD CHANCE OF CLASS M FLARES.
IIA. Resumen de la actividad geofísica 28-2100Z a 29-2100Z
GEOMAGNETIC ACTIVITY HAS BEEN UNSETTLED TO ACTIVE. ENERGETIC
ELECTRON FLUX GREATER THAN 2 MEV AT GEOSYNCHRONOUS ORBIT ARE STILL
ABOVE EVENT THRESHOLDS.
IIB. Pronóstico de la actividad geofísica
THE GEOMAGNETIC FIELD IS
EXPECTED TO BE UNSETTLED TO ACTIVE.
III. Probabilidades del evento 01 MAR a 03 MAR
| Clase M | 50% | 50% | 50% |
| Clase X | 10% | 20% | 20% |
| Protón | 10% | 10% | 10% |
| PCAF | GREEN | ||
IV. Penticton 10.7cm flujo
Observado 29 FEB 219 Previsto 01 MAR-03 MAR 220/220/220 Media de 90 Días 29 FEB 167
V. Índices Geomagnéticos A
OBSERVED AFR/AP 28 FEB 012/012 ESTIMATED AFR/AP 29 FEB 008/010 PREDICTED AFR/AP 01 MAR-03 MAR 012/020-010/012-005/007
VI. Probabilidades de Actividad Geomagnética 01 MAR a 03 MAR
| A. Latitudes Medias | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Activo | 20% | 20% | 15% |
| Tormenta Menor | 10% | 10% | 05% |
| Tormenta Mayor-Severa | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| B. Latitudes Altas | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Activo | 20% | 20% | 10% |
| Tormenta Menor | 10% | 10% | 05% |
| Tormenta Mayor-Severa | 01% | 01% | 01% |
All times in UTC
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