Viendo archivo del viernes, 17 marzo 2000
Informe actividad solar
Any mentioned solar flare in this report has a scaling factor applied by the Space Weather Prediction Center (SWPC). Because of the SWPC scaling factor, solar flares are reported as 42% smaller than for the science quality data. The scaling factor has been removed from our archived solar flare data to reflect the true physical units.
Informe de actividad Solar-Geofísica 2000 Mar 17 2200 UTCPreparado por NOAA © SWPC y procesado por SpaceWeatherLive.com
Informe conjunto USAF/NOAA de actividad Solar y Geofísica
SDF Número 077 Publicado el 2200Z a las 17 MAR 2000IA. Análisis de regiones solares activas y de actividad desde 16-2100Z hasta 17-2100Z SOLAR ACTIVITY WAS MODERATE. REGION 8906 (S16W49)
PRODUCED AN M1/SF FLARE AT 17/1125UT. FURTHER DECAY AND MAGNETIC
SIMPLIFICATION IS EVIDENT SINCE YESTERDAY. REGION 8910 (N11E05)
CONTINUED TO GROW SLOWLY AND MANAGED TO PRODUCE A C6/1F AT
16/2215UT. NEW REGIONS 8915 (N23E62) AND 8916 (N12E74) ROTATED
AROUND THE EAST LIMB.
IB. Pronóstico de la actividad solar
SOLAR ACTIVITY IS EXPECTED TO BE LOW
TO MODERATE. C-CLASS AND ISOLATED M-CLASS FLARE ACTIVITY IS MOST
LIKELY IN REGIONS 8906 AND 8910. A SMALL CHANCE OF A MAJOR FLARE
REMAINS IN REGION 8906.
IIA. Resumen de la actividad geofísica 16-2100Z a 17-2100Z
THE GEOMAGNETIC FIELD WAS QUIET TO UNSETTLED.
IIB. Pronóstico de la actividad geofísica
THE GEOMAGNETIC FIELD IS
EXPECTED TO BE QUIET TO UNSETTLED.
III. Probabilidades del evento 18 MAR a 20 MAR
| Clase M | 50% | 50% | 50% |
| Clase X | 05% | 05% | 05% |
| Protón | 05% | 05% | 05% |
| PCAF | GREEN | ||
IV. Penticton 10.7cm flujo
Observado 17 MAR 192 Previsto 18 MAR-20 MAR 180/180/185 Media de 90 Días 17 MAR 175
V. Índices Geomagnéticos A
OBSERVED AFR/AP 16 MAR 002/004 ESTIMATED AFR/AP 17 MAR 005/006 PREDICTED AFR/AP 18 MAR-20 MAR 005/008-005/008-010/008
VI. Probabilidades de Actividad Geomagnética 18 MAR a 20 MAR
| A. Latitudes Medias | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Activo | 15% | 15% | 15% |
| Tormenta Menor | 05% | 05% | 05% |
| Tormenta Mayor-Severa | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| B. Latitudes Altas | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Activo | 15% | 15% | 15% |
| Tormenta Menor | 05% | 05% | 05% |
| Tormenta Mayor-Severa | 01% | 01% | 01% |
All times in UTC
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