Viendo archivo del domingo, 19 marzo 2000

Informe actividad solar

Any mentioned solar flare in this report has a scaling factor applied by the Space Weather Prediction Center (SWPC). Because of the SWPC scaling factor, solar flares are reported as 42% smaller than for the science quality data. The scaling factor has been removed from our archived solar flare data to reflect the true physical units.
Informe de actividad Solar-Geofísica 2000 Mar 19 2200 UTC
Preparado por NOAA © SWPC y procesado por SpaceWeatherLive.com

Informe conjunto USAF/NOAA de actividad Solar y Geofísica

SDF Número 079 Publicado el 2200Z a las 19 MAR 2000

IA. Análisis de regiones solares activas y de actividad desde 18-2100Z hasta 19-2100Z

SOLAR ACTIVITY WAS MODERATE. REGIONS 8906 (S17W74) AND 8910 (N12W23) PRODUCED THE BRUNT OF THE DAY'S ACTIVITY. 8906 HAD AN M3/1N TENFLARE AT 18/2357Z, AND AN M1/1F TENFLARE AT 1756Z, AS WELL AS OTHER SMALLER EVENTS. THE REGION IS NEARING WEST LIMB, BUT CLEARLY REMAINS POTENT. REGION 8910 PRODUCED AN M2/2N AT 18/2333Z, AND OTHER LESSER-SIZED EVENTS. THIS REGION IS THE MOST OMINOUS ON THE VISIBLE DISK, MEASURING NEARLY 600 MILLIONTHS IN WHITE LIGHT AREA, 48 SPOTS, AND A BETA-GAMMA DELTA MAGNETIC TOPOLOGY. OTHER SIGNIFICANT ACTIVITY OCCURRING WERE: A C4/1F FLARE WITH TYPE II AT 18/2154Z FROM REGION 8909 (S29E25), AN UNOBSERVED C5 X-RAY EVENT WITH TYPE II AT 0202Z, AND THE DISAPPEARANCE OF A 29 DEGREE-LONG FILAMENT CENTERED NEAR S69W04 IN THE FIRST HALF OF TODAY. TWO NEW REGIONS, 8918 (N32W14) AND 8919 (S22E58) WERE NUMBERED.
IB. Pronóstico de la actividad solar
SOLAR ACTIVITY IS EXPECTED TO REMAIN MODERATE. REGIONS 8906 AND 8910 SHOULD CONTINUE TO GENERATE OCCASIONAL M-CLASS ACTIVITY. THERE IS A POSSIBILITY OF X-CLASS ACTIVITY SHOULD FURTHER DEVELOPMENT OCCUR IN REGION 8910.
IIA. Resumen de la actividad geofísica 18-2100Z a 19-2100Z
THE GEOMAGNETIC FIELD WAS QUIET TO UNSETTLED.
IIB. Pronóstico de la actividad geofísica
THE GEOMAGNETIC FIELD IS EXPECTED TO PERSIST AT QUIET TO UNSETTLED LEVELS FOR THE NEXT THREE DAYS.
III. Probabilidades del evento 20 MAR a 22 MAR
Clase M70%70%50%
Clase X15%15%10%
Protón15%15%10%
PCAFGREEN
IV. Penticton 10.7cm flujo
  Observado       19 MAR 208
  Previsto   20 MAR-22 MAR  215/220/230
  Media de 90 Días        19 MAR 174
V. Índices Geomagnéticos A
OBSERVED AFR/AP 18 MAR  006/007
ESTIMATED AFR/AP 19 MAR  008/008
PREDICTED AFR/AP 20 MAR-22 MAR  005/008-010/008-010/015
VI. Probabilidades de Actividad Geomagnética 20 MAR a 22 MAR
A. Latitudes Medias
Activo10%20%20%
Tormenta Menor01%05%05%
Tormenta Mayor-Severa01%01%01%
B. Latitudes Altas
Activo15%25%25%
Tormenta Menor05%05%05%
Tormenta Mayor-Severa01%01%01%

All times in UTC

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