Viendo archivo del domingo, 9 abril 2000

Informe actividad solar

Any mentioned solar flare in this report has a scaling factor applied by the Space Weather Prediction Center (SWPC). Because of the SWPC scaling factor, solar flares are reported as 42% smaller than for the science quality data. The scaling factor has been removed from our archived solar flare data to reflect the true physical units.
Informe de actividad Solar-Geofísica 2000 Apr 09 2200 UTC
Preparado por NOAA © SWPC y procesado por SpaceWeatherLive.com

Informe conjunto USAF/NOAA de actividad Solar y Geofísica

SDF Número 100 Publicado el 2200Z a las 09 APR 2000

IA. Análisis de regiones solares activas y de actividad desde 08-2100Z hasta 09-2100Z

SOLAR ACTIVITY HAS BEEN MODERATE. REGION 8948 (S15E01) PRODUCED AN M1/1N FLARE AT 0416Z. THIS REGION CONTINUES TO DOMINATE THE DISK IN TERMS OF MAGNETIC COMPLEXITY AND FLARE PRODUCTION, AND CONTINUES TO POSSESS A SMALL DELTA SPOT. GROWTH IN THE REGION HAS LEVELED OFF. NEW REGION 8953 (S14E72) ROTATED INTO VIEW TODAY.
IB. Pronóstico de la actividad solar
SOLAR ACTIVITY IS EXPECTED TO BE MODERATE OVER THE NEXT THREE DAYS, WITH A FAIR-TO-GOOD CHANCE FOR ADDITIONAL M-FLARES FROM REGION 8948.
IIA. Resumen de la actividad geofísica 08-2100Z a 09-2100Z
THE GEOMAGNETIC FIELD WAS QUIET TO UNSETTLED DURING THE PAST 24 HOURS. THE SOLAR WIND SPEED CONTINUES TO BE ENHANCED (510-600 KM/S) BUT SHOWS LOW DENSITY (1-3 P/CC) AND WEAK MAGNETIC FIELDS (3 TO 5 NT).
IIB. Pronóstico de la actividad geofísica
THE GEOMAGNETIC FIELD IS EXPECTED TO BE GENERALLY UNSETTLED FOR THE NEXT 24 HOURS, AND QUIET TO UNSETTLED FOR THE SECOND AND THIRD DAYS.
III. Probabilidades del evento 10 APR a 12 APR
Clase M60%60%60%
Clase X05%05%05%
Protón05%05%05%
PCAFGREEN
IV. Penticton 10.7cm flujo
  Observado       09 APR 176
  Previsto   10 APR-12 APR  175/170/170
  Media de 90 Días        09 APR 186
V. Índices Geomagnéticos A
OBSERVED AFR/AP 08 APR  008/014
ESTIMATED AFR/AP 09 APR  010/010
PREDICTED AFR/AP 10 APR-12 APR  010/010-007/010-005/008
VI. Probabilidades de Actividad Geomagnética 10 APR a 12 APR
A. Latitudes Medias
Activo15%10%10%
Tormenta Menor10%05%05%
Tormenta Mayor-Severa05%01%01%
B. Latitudes Altas
Activo25%20%20%
Tormenta Menor15%10%10%
Tormenta Mayor-Severa05%05%05%

All times in UTC

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