Viendo archivo del viernes, 9 junio 2000

Informe actividad solar

Any mentioned solar flare in this report has a scaling factor applied by the Space Weather Prediction Center (SWPC). Because of the SWPC scaling factor, solar flares are reported as 42% smaller than for the science quality data. The scaling factor has been removed from our archived solar flare data to reflect the true physical units.
Informe de actividad Solar-Geofísica 2000 Jun 09 2200 UTC
Preparado por NOAA © SWPC y procesado por SpaceWeatherLive.com

Informe conjunto USAF/NOAA de actividad Solar y Geofísica

SDF Número 161 Publicado el 2200Z a las 09 JUN 2000

IA. Análisis de regiones solares activas y de actividad desde 08-2100Z hasta 09-2100Z

SOLAR ACTIVITY WAS LOW. REGION 9026 (N22W29) PRODUCED A MINOR C-CLASS X-RAY EVENTS AT 08/2324Z AND 09/2048Z. NO SIGNIFICANT CHANGES WERE OBSERVED DURING THE PERIOD IN REGION 9026. REGION 9033 (N22E29) CONTINUES TO DISPLAY GROWTH AND IS CURRENTLY AN FKI BETA GAMMA GROUP WITH APPROXIMATELY 42 SPOTS. NO NEW REGIONS WERE NUMBERED TODAY.
IB. Pronóstico de la actividad solar
SOLAR ACTIVITY IS EXPECTED TO BE MODERATE. REGIONS 9026 AND 9033 ARE THE MOST LIKELY TO PRODUCE M-CLASS EVENTS. THERE IS A SLIGHT CHANCE OF X-CLASS ACTIVITY.
IIA. Resumen de la actividad geofísica 08-2100Z a 09-2100Z
THE GEOMAGNETIC FIELD WAS QUIET TO ACTIVE. THE 10 MEV PROTON EVENT GENERATED FROM THE X2/3B EVENT ON 06 JUNE ENDED AT 09/0325Z. THE SOLAR WIND VELOCITY SLOWLY DECREASED DURING THE PERIOD FROM 750 TO 550 KM/S. WHILE MOST AVAILABLE DATA INDICATED THE CHANCE FOR A STRONG GEOMAGNETIC STORM, THE BZ MEASURED AT THE ACE SPACECRAFT STAYED NORTHWARD (POSITIVE) THE ENTIRE PERIOD, NOT ALLOWING FOR A FAVORABLE MAJOR MAGNETIC STORM SITUATION TO OCCUR.
IIB. Pronóstico de la actividad geofísica
THE GEOMAGNETIC FIELD IS EXPECTED TO RANGE FROM QUIET TO ACTIVE. THE EFFECTS OF A FAINT FULL HALO CME, ASSOCIATED WITH THE X1/3B EVENT ON 7 JUNE, IS EXPECTED TO IMPACT THE FIELD EARLY ON 10 JUNE. THIS MAY CAUSE ISOLATED PERIODS OF MINOR STORM CONDITIONS TO BE OBSERVED.
III. Probabilidades del evento 10 JUN a 12 JUN
Clase M60%60%60%
Clase X15%15%15%
Protón10%10%10%
PCAFGREEN
IV. Penticton 10.7cm flujo
  Observado       09 JUN 169
  Previsto   10 JUN-12 JUN  175/185/190
  Media de 90 Días        09 JUN 188
V. Índices Geomagnéticos A
OBSERVED AFR/AP 08 JUN  034/053
ESTIMATED AFR/AP 09 JUN  012/014
PREDICTED AFR/AP 10 JUN-12 JUN  020/030-015/020-015/015
VI. Probabilidades de Actividad Geomagnética 10 JUN a 12 JUN
A. Latitudes Medias
Activo30%25%25%
Tormenta Menor20%15%15%
Tormenta Mayor-Severa05%05%01%
B. Latitudes Altas
Activo40%35%30%
Tormenta Menor25%20%10%
Tormenta Mayor-Severa10%10%05%

All times in UTC

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