Viendo archivo del jueves, 6 julio 2000
Informe actividad solar
Any mentioned solar flare in this report has a scaling factor applied by the Space Weather Prediction Center (SWPC). Because of the SWPC scaling factor, solar flares are reported as 42% smaller than for the science quality data. The scaling factor has been removed from our archived solar flare data to reflect the true physical units.
Informe de actividad Solar-Geofísica 2000 Jul 06 2200 UTCPreparado por NOAA © SWPC y procesado por SpaceWeatherLive.com
Informe conjunto USAF/NOAA de actividad Solar y Geofísica
SDF Número 188 Publicado el 2200Z a las 06 JUL 2000IA. Análisis de regiones solares activas y de actividad desde 05-2100Z hasta 06-2100Z SOLAR ACTIVITY WAS LOW. ISOLATED C-CLASS EVENTS, AMONG
THEM A C4/SF FROM REGION 9070 (N18E15) WITH ASSOCIATED TYPE II SWEEP
AT 1236Z, OCCURRED. ANOTHER C4, WITH NO OPTICAL ASSOCIATION, WAS
DETECTED AT 2045Z. TWO NEW REGIONS, 9075 (N06E64) AND 9076 (S24E69)
WERE NUMBERED. REGIONS 9068 (S18W03) AND 9070 WERE THE MOST
IMPRESSIVE OF THE 13 REGIONS VISIBLE.
IB. Pronóstico de la actividad solar
SOLAR ACTIVITY IS EXPECTED TO PERSIST
AT LOW LEVELS FOR THE NEXT 72 HOURS.
IIA. Resumen de la actividad geofísica 05-2100Z a 06-2100Z
THE GEOMAGNETIC FIELD HAS BEEN QUIET.
IIB. Pronóstico de la actividad geofísica
THE GEOMAGNETIC FIELD IS
EXPECTED TO BE AT UNSETTLED TO ACTIVE LEVELS FOR THE NEXT 24 HOURS.
HIGH-SPEED SOLAR WIND, EMANATING FROM AN ELONGATED N-S CORONAL HOLE,
SHOULD BEGIN TO IMPACT THE MAGNETOSPHERE JULY 7. THAT SHORT-LIVED
DISTURBANCE SHOULD SUBSIDE BY THE END OF THE INTERVAL.
III. Probabilidades del evento 07 JUL a 09 JUL
| Clase M | 10% | 10% | 10% |
| Clase X | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| Protón | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| PCAF | GREEN | ||
IV. Penticton 10.7cm flujo
Observado 06 JUL 174 Previsto 07 JUL-09 JUL 180/185/190 Media de 90 Días 06 JUL 180
V. Índices Geomagnéticos A
OBSERVED AFR/AP 05 JUL 006/013 ESTIMATED AFR/AP 06 JUL 007/010 PREDICTED AFR/AP 07 JUL-09 JUL 015/015-010/010-010/012
VI. Probabilidades de Actividad Geomagnética 07 JUL a 09 JUL
| A. Latitudes Medias | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Activo | 20% | 20% | 15% |
| Tormenta Menor | 05% | 05% | 01% |
| Tormenta Mayor-Severa | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| B. Latitudes Altas | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Activo | 30% | 30% | 25% |
| Tormenta Menor | 10% | 10% | 05% |
| Tormenta Mayor-Severa | 01% | 01% | 01% |
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