Viendo archivo del domingo, 9 julio 2000

Informe actividad solar

Any mentioned solar flare in this report has a scaling factor applied by the Space Weather Prediction Center (SWPC). Because of the SWPC scaling factor, solar flares are reported as 42% smaller than for the science quality data. The scaling factor has been removed from our archived solar flare data to reflect the true physical units.
Informe de actividad Solar-Geofísica 2000 Jul 09 2200 UTC
Preparado por NOAA © SWPC y procesado por SpaceWeatherLive.com

Informe conjunto USAF/NOAA de actividad Solar y Geofísica

SDF Número 191 Publicado el 2200Z a las 09 JUL 2000

IA. Análisis de regiones solares activas y de actividad desde 08-2100Z hasta 09-2100Z

SOLAR ACTIVITY WAS MODERATE. REGION 9077 (N16E55) PRODUCED AN M5/1N AT 09/0723Z. OUT OF THE 13 SPOTTED REGIONS ON THE DISK, REGION 9077 IS THE LARGEST WITH AN AREA OF 660 MILLIONTHS. A WEAK OPTICALLY UNCORRELATED TYPE II RADIO SWEEP WAS OBSERVED AT 09/1117Z (ESTIMATED SHOCK SPEED 800 KM/S). NEW REGION 9079 (S29E65) WAS NUMBERED TODAY.
IB. Pronóstico de la actividad solar
SOLAR ACTIVITY IS EXPECTED TO BE LOW TO MODERATE. REGION 9070 (N19W24) AND REGION 9077 ARE BOTH CAPABLE OF PRODUCING M-CLASS FLARES WITH A CHANCE FOR AN ISOLATED X-CLASS FLARE.
IIA. Resumen de la actividad geofísica 08-2100Z a 09-2100Z
THE GEOMAGNETIC FIELD WAS QUIET.
IIB. Pronóstico de la actividad geofísica
THE GEOMAGNETIC FIELD IS EXPECTED TO BE QUIET TO UNSETTLED THE FIRST DAY OF THE FORECAST PERIOD. ACTIVE TO MINOR STORM CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED ON THE SECOND AND THIRD DAY OF THE FORECAST PERIOD. THIS IS DUE TO THE HALO CME OBSERVED 07 JULY.
III. Probabilidades del evento 10 JUL a 12 JUL
Clase M50%50%50%
Clase X05%05%05%
Protón05%05%05%
PCAFGREEN
IV. Penticton 10.7cm flujo
  Observado       09 JUL 211
  Previsto   10 JUL-12 JUL  215/220/220
  Media de 90 Días        09 JUL 181
V. Índices Geomagnéticos A
OBSERVED AFR/AP 08 JUL  006/007
ESTIMATED AFR/AP 09 JUL  008/008
PREDICTED AFR/AP 10 JUL-12 JUL  010/015-025/028-025/025
VI. Probabilidades de Actividad Geomagnética 10 JUL a 12 JUL
A. Latitudes Medias
Activo15%60%60%
Tormenta Menor05%30%30%
Tormenta Mayor-Severa01%05%05%
B. Latitudes Altas
Activo20%60%60%
Tormenta Menor10%35%30%
Tormenta Mayor-Severa01%05%05%

All times in UTC

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