Viendo archivo del viernes, 4 agosto 2000
Informe actividad solar
Any mentioned solar flare in this report has a scaling factor applied by the Space Weather Prediction Center (SWPC). Because of the SWPC scaling factor, solar flares are reported as 42% smaller than for the science quality data. The scaling factor has been removed from our archived solar flare data to reflect the true physical units.
Informe de actividad Solar-Geofísica 2000 Aug 04 2200 UTCPreparado por NOAA © SWPC y procesado por SpaceWeatherLive.com
Informe conjunto USAF/NOAA de actividad Solar y Geofísica
SDF Número 217 Publicado el 2200Z a las 04 AUG 2000IA. Análisis de regiones solares activas y de actividad desde 03-2100Z hasta 04-2100Z SOLAR ACTIVITY WAS LOW. ISOLATED, OPTICALLY
UNCORRELATED LOW C-CLASS ACTIVITY OCCURRED EARLY IN THE PERIOD.
OCCASIONAL SMALL FAINT FLARES WERE OBSERVED IN REGIONS 9114 (N13E54)
AND 9115 (N17E68), BUT MAGNETIC CONFIGURATIONS IN THESE REGIONS
APPEAR RATHER SIMPLE. A LARGE, DARK FILAMENT NEAR DISK CENTER WAS
QUITE ACTIVE AND MAY SOON ERUPT. NEW REGION 9116 (S12E63) WAS
NUMBERED TODAY. REMAINING REGIONS WERE MOSTLY STABLE.
IB. Pronóstico de la actividad solar
SOLAR ACTIVITY WILL LIKELY REMAIN AT
LOW LEVELS. ISOLATED LOW C-CLASS ACTIVITY IS EXPECTED.
IIA. GEOPHYSICAL ACTIVITY SUMMARY 03/2100Z TO 04/2100Z:
THE GEOMAGNETIC FIELD WAS QUIET TO ACTIVE WITH A SINGLE MINOR STORM
PERIOD BETWEEN 04/06 - 09Z. PERIODS OF SUSTAINED SOUTHWARD BZ ARE
CAUSING THIS MINOR DISTURBANCE. ENERGETIC ELECTRON FLUXES AT
GEOSYNCHRONOUS ORBIT BECAME HIGH LATE IN THE PERIOD.
IIB. Pronóstico de la actividad geofísica
THE GEOMAGNETIC FIELD IS
EXPECTED TO BE GENERALLY QUIET TO UNSETTLED WITH ISOLATED ACTIVE
PERIODS POSSIBLE THROUGH THE NEXT THREE DAYS.
III. Probabilidades del evento 05 AUG a 07 AUG
| Clase M | 30% | 30% | 35% |
| Clase X | 01% | 01% | 05% |
| Protón | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| PCAF | GREEN | ||
IV. Penticton 10.7cm flujo
Observado 04 AUG 154 Previsto 05 AUG-07 AUG 160/165/170 Media de 90 Días 04 AUG 190
V. Índices Geomagnéticos A
OBSERVED AFR/AP 03 AUG 008/012 ESTIMATED AFR/AP 04 AUG 014/018 PREDICTED AFR/AP 05 AUG-07 AUG 010/010-010/010-010/010
VI. Probabilidades de Actividad Geomagnética 05 AUG a 07 AUG
| A. Latitudes Medias | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Activo | 30% | 30% | 30% |
| Tormenta Menor | 10% | 10% | 10% |
| Tormenta Mayor-Severa | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| B. Latitudes Altas | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Activo | 35% | 35% | 35% |
| Tormenta Menor | 15% | 15% | 15% |
| Tormenta Mayor-Severa | 01% | 01% | 01% |
All times in UTC
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