Viendo archivo del lunes, 7 agosto 2000
Informe actividad solar
Any mentioned solar flare in this report has a scaling factor applied by the Space Weather Prediction Center (SWPC). Because of the SWPC scaling factor, solar flares are reported as 42% smaller than for the science quality data. The scaling factor has been removed from our archived solar flare data to reflect the true physical units.
Informe de actividad Solar-Geofísica 2000 Aug 07 2200 UTCPreparado por NOAA © SWPC y procesado por SpaceWeatherLive.com
Informe conjunto USAF/NOAA de actividad Solar y Geofísica
SDF Número 220 Publicado el 2200Z a las 07 AUG 2000IA. Análisis de regiones solares activas y de actividad desde 06-2100Z hasta 07-2100Z SOLAR ACTIVITY WAS LOW. ONLY A FEW SMALL C-CLASS FLARES
OCCURRED, NONE OF WHICH WERE ASSOCIATED WITH REPORTED OPTICAL
FLARES. REGION 9114 (N12E14) CONTINUED TO PRODUCE SMALL SUBFLARES.
THIS REGION HAS DECLINED SOMEWHAT IN SUNSPOT AREA AND COMPLEXITY.
NEW REGION 9122 (N21E47) IS EMERGING RAPIDLY.
IB. Pronóstico de la actividad solar
SOLAR ACTIVITY IS EXPECTED TO BE LOW.
ADDITIONAL SMALL C-CLASS FLARES ARE EXPECTED.
IIA. GEOPHYSICAL ACTIVITY SUMMARY 06/2100Z TO 07/2100Z:
THE GEOMAGNETIC FIELD WAS QUIET TO UNSETTLED. THE GREATER THAN 2 MEV
ELECTRON FLUX AT GEOSYNCHRONOUS ORBIT WAS MODERATE.
IIB. Pronóstico de la actividad geofísica
THE GEOMAGNETIC FIELD IS
EXPECTED TO BE QUIET TO UNSETTLED FOR THE ENTIRE FORECAST PERIOD.
III. Probabilidades del evento 08 AUG a 10 AUG
| Clase M | 30% | 30% | 30% |
| Clase X | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| Protón | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| PCAF | GREEN | ||
IV. Penticton 10.7cm flujo
Observado 07 AUG 167 Previsto 08 AUG-10 AUG 170/175/180 Media de 90 Días 07 AUG 191
V. Índices Geomagnéticos A
OBSERVED AFR/AP 06 AUG 015/018 ESTIMATED AFR/AP 07 AUG 010/010 PREDICTED AFR/AP 08 AUG-10 AUG 010/012-010/010-010/010
VI. Probabilidades de Actividad Geomagnética 08 AUG a 10 AUG
| A. Latitudes Medias | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Activo | 10% | 10% | 10% |
| Tormenta Menor | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| Tormenta Mayor-Severa | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| B. Latitudes Altas | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Activo | 15% | 15% | 15% |
| Tormenta Menor | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| Tormenta Mayor-Severa | 01% | 01% | 01% |
All times in UTC
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