Viendo archivo del martes, 8 agosto 2000
Informe actividad solar
Any mentioned solar flare in this report has a scaling factor applied by the Space Weather Prediction Center (SWPC). Because of the SWPC scaling factor, solar flares are reported as 42% smaller than for the science quality data. The scaling factor has been removed from our archived solar flare data to reflect the true physical units.
Informe de actividad Solar-Geofísica 2000 Aug 08 2200 UTCPreparado por NOAA © SWPC y procesado por SpaceWeatherLive.com
Informe conjunto USAF/NOAA de actividad Solar y Geofísica
SDF Número 221 Publicado el 2200Z a las 08 AUG 2000IA. Análisis de regiones solares activas y de actividad desde 07-2100Z hasta 08-2100Z SOLAR ACTIVITY WAS MODERATE DUE TO AN OPTICALLY
UNCORRELATED M1 X-RAY FLARE AT 08/1115 UTC. OTHER THAN THIS FLARE
ONLY A FEW LOW-LEVEL C-CLASS SUBFLARES OCCURRED. THE LARGEST WAS A
C1/SF IN REGION 9122 (N22E35) AT 07/2342 UTC. REGION 9114 (N11W01)
REMAINS THE LARGEST, MOST COMPLEX SUNSPOT GROUP ON THE VISIBLE DISK.
NEW REGION 9123 (N18E72) ROTATED INTO VIEW AS A SMALL H-TYPE
SUNSPOT.
IB. Pronóstico de la actividad solar
SOLAR ACTIVITY IS EXPECTED TO BE LOW
TO MODERATE. C-CLASS ACTIVITY IS PROBABLE AND ANOTHER LOW-LEVEL
M-CLASS IS POSSIBLE.
IIA. GEOPHYSICAL ACTIVITY SUMMARY 07/2100Z TO 08/2100Z:
THE GEOMAGNETIC FIELD WAS QUIET TO UNSETTLED. THE GREATER THAN 2 MEV
ELECTRON FLUX AT GEOSYNCHRONOUS ORBIT WAS MODERATE.
IIB. Pronóstico de la actividad geofísica
THE GEOMAGNETIC FIELD IS
EXPECTED TO BE QUIET TO UNSETTLED.
III. Probabilidades del evento 09 AUG a 11 AUG
| Clase M | 30% | 30% | 30% |
| Clase X | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| Protón | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| PCAF | GREEN | ||
IV. Penticton 10.7cm flujo
Observado 08 AUG 170 Previsto 09 AUG-11 AUG 175/180/190 Media de 90 Días 08 AUG 191
V. Índices Geomagnéticos A
OBSERVED AFR/AP 07 AUG 008/009 ESTIMATED AFR/AP 08 AUG 008/010 PREDICTED AFR/AP 09 AUG-11 AUG 010/010-010/010-010/010
VI. Probabilidades de Actividad Geomagnética 09 AUG a 11 AUG
| A. Latitudes Medias | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Activo | 10% | 10% | 10% |
| Tormenta Menor | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| Tormenta Mayor-Severa | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| B. Latitudes Altas | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Activo | 15% | 15% | 15% |
| Tormenta Menor | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| Tormenta Mayor-Severa | 01% | 01% | 01% |
All times in UTC
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