Viendo archivo del jueves, 17 agosto 2000
Informe actividad solar
Any mentioned solar flare in this report has a scaling factor applied by the Space Weather Prediction Center (SWPC). Because of the SWPC scaling factor, solar flares are reported as 42% smaller than for the science quality data. The scaling factor has been removed from our archived solar flare data to reflect the true physical units.
Informe de actividad Solar-Geofísica 2000 Aug 17 2200 UTCPreparado por NOAA © SWPC y procesado por SpaceWeatherLive.com
Informe conjunto USAF/NOAA de actividad Solar y Geofísica
SDF Número 230 Publicado el 2200Z a las 17 AUG 2000IA. Análisis de regiones solares activas y de actividad desde 16-2100Z hasta 17-2100Z SOLAR ACTIVITY WAS LOW. OCCASIONAL ISOLATED C-CLASS
EVENTS OCCURRED DURING THE PERIOD. THE LARGEST EVENT WAS A C4/1N AT
17/0837UT FROM REGION 9131 (N14E21). REGION 9125 (N26W22) REMAINS
THE LARGEST AND MOST MAGNETICALLY COMPLEX GROUP OF THE 12 SPOTTED
REGIONS VISIBLE. REGION 9125 PRODUCED A C1/SF AT 17/1241UT. OVERALL
MOST OF THE REGIONS WERE RELATIVELY STABLE AND PRODUCED VERY LITTLE
ACTIVITY. ONE NEW REGION WAS NUMBERED: 9136 (N07W06).
IB. Pronóstico de la actividad solar
SOLAR ACTIVITY IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE
TO BE LOW WITH AN ISOLATED CHANCE OF AN M-CLASS EVENT.
IIA. GEOPHYSICAL ACTIVITY SUMMARY 16/2100Z TO 17/2100Z:
THE GEOMAGNETIC FIELD WAS QUIET TO ACTIVE. THE GREATER THAN 2 MEV
ELECTRON FLUX AT GEOSYNCHRONOUS ORBIT REACHED MODERATE LEVELS AT
APPROXIMATELY 17/0900UT AND STAYED AT MODERATE LEVELS FOR THE REST
OF THE PERIOD.
IIB. Pronóstico de la actividad geofísica
THE GEOMAGNETIC FIELD IS
EXPECTED TO BE QUIET TO UNSETTLED.
III. Probabilidades del evento 18 AUG a 20 AUG
| Clase M | 25% | 25% | 25% |
| Clase X | 05% | 05% | 05% |
| Protón | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| PCAF | GREEN | ||
IV. Penticton 10.7cm flujo
Observado 17 AUG 177 Previsto 18 AUG-20 AUG 175/175/170 Media de 90 Días 17 AUG 186
V. Índices Geomagnéticos A
OBSERVED AFR/AP 16 AUG 009/011 ESTIMATED AFR/AP 17 AUG 010/010 PREDICTED AFR/AP 18 AUG-20 AUG 010/010-010/010-010/010
VI. Probabilidades de Actividad Geomagnética 18 AUG a 20 AUG
| A. Latitudes Medias | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Activo | 20% | 20% | 20% |
| Tormenta Menor | 10% | 10% | 10% |
| Tormenta Mayor-Severa | 05% | 05% | 05% |
| B. Latitudes Altas | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Activo | 30% | 30% | 30% |
| Tormenta Menor | 15% | 15% | 15% |
| Tormenta Mayor-Severa | 05% | 05% | 05% |
All times in UTC
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