Viendo archivo del miércoles, 20 septiembre 2000
Informe actividad solar
Any mentioned solar flare in this report has a scaling factor applied by the Space Weather Prediction Center (SWPC). Because of the SWPC scaling factor, solar flares are reported as 42% smaller than for the science quality data. The scaling factor has been removed from our archived solar flare data to reflect the true physical units.
Informe de actividad Solar-Geofísica 2000 Sep 20 2200 UTCPreparado por NOAA © SWPC y procesado por SpaceWeatherLive.com
Informe conjunto USAF/NOAA de actividad Solar y Geofísica
SDF Número 264 Publicado el 2200Z a las 20 SEP 2000IA. Análisis de regiones solares activas y de actividad desde 19-2100Z hasta 20-2100Z SOLAR ACTIVITY HAS BEEN LOW. REGION 9169 (N08E46)
CONTINUES TO EXHIBIT A BETA-GAMMA-DELTA MAGNETIC CONFIGURATION AND
REMAINS THE LARGEST REGION ON THE VISIBLE DISK. OTHER THAN LOW
C-CLASS EVENTS, THE REGION REMAINS QUIET.
IB. Pronóstico de la actividad solar
SOLAR ACTIVITY IS EXPECTED TO BE LOW
TO MODERATE. THE POSSIBILITY OF ISOLATED MAJOR FLARING CANNOT BE
RULED OUT ESPECIALLY FROM REGION 9169.
IIA. GEOPHYSICAL ACTIVITY SUMMARY 19/2100Z TO 20/2100Z:
THE GEOMAGNETIC FIELD HAS BEEN QUIET TO ACTIVE.
IIB. Pronóstico de la actividad geofísica
THE GEOMAGNETIC FIELD IS
EXPECTED TO BE QUIET TO UNSETTLED.
III. Probabilidades del evento 21 SEP a 23 SEP
| Clase M | 70% | 70% | 70% |
| Clase X | 25% | 25% | 25% |
| Protón | 05% | 05% | 05% |
| PCAF | GREEN | ||
IV. Penticton 10.7cm flujo
Observado 20 SEP 211 Previsto 21 SEP-23 SEP 215/215/220 Media de 90 Días 20 SEP 177
V. Índices Geomagnéticos A
OBSERVED AFR/AP 19 SEP 015/027 ESTIMATED AFR/AP 20 SEP 010/015 PREDICTED AFR/AP 21 SEP-23 SEP 010/012-010/010-010/010
VI. Probabilidades de Actividad Geomagnética 21 SEP a 23 SEP
| A. Latitudes Medias | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Activo | 20% | 20% | 20% |
| Tormenta Menor | 10% | 10% | 10% |
| Tormenta Mayor-Severa | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| B. Latitudes Altas | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Activo | 30% | 25% | 25% |
| Tormenta Menor | 10% | 10% | 10% |
| Tormenta Mayor-Severa | 05% | 01% | 01% |
All times in UTC
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