Viendo archivo del jueves, 21 septiembre 2000
Informe actividad solar
Any mentioned solar flare in this report has a scaling factor applied by the Space Weather Prediction Center (SWPC). Because of the SWPC scaling factor, solar flares are reported as 42% smaller than for the science quality data. The scaling factor has been removed from our archived solar flare data to reflect the true physical units.
Informe de actividad Solar-Geofísica 2000 Sep 21 2200 UTCPreparado por NOAA © SWPC y procesado por SpaceWeatherLive.com
Informe conjunto USAF/NOAA de actividad Solar y Geofísica
SDF Número 265 Publicado el 2200Z a las 21 SEP 2000IA. Análisis de regiones solares activas y de actividad desde 20-2100Z hasta 21-2100Z SOLAR ACTIVITY HAS BEEN LOW. ONLY LOW C-CLASS EVENTS
OCCURRED THROUGH THE PERIOD. AN EIGHT DEGREE FILAMENT DISAPPEARED
AT N33E14 BETWEEN 20/1525 UTC AND 21/0706 UTC. REGION 9169 (N09E32)
REMAINS A BETA-GAMMA-DELTA MAGNETIC CONFIGURATION. A NEW REGION WAS
NUMBERED TODAY AS REGION 9170 (S07E28).
IB. Pronóstico de la actividad solar
SOLAR ACTIVITY IS EXPECTED TO BE LOW
TO MODERATE. ISOLATED MAJOR FLARING REMAINS A POSSIBILITY WITH
REGION 9169.
IIA. GEOPHYSICAL ACTIVITY SUMMARY 20/2100Z TO 21/2100Z:
THE GEOMAGNETIC FIELD WAS QUIET TO UNSETTLED. THE GREATER THAN 2 MEV
ELECTRON FLUX AT GEOSYNCHRONOUS ORBIT REACHED MODERATE DURING THE
PERIOD.
IIB. Pronóstico de la actividad geofísica
THE GEOMAGNETIC FIELD IS
EXPECTED TO BE QUIET TO UNSETTLED THROUGH THE PERIOD.
III. Probabilidades del evento 22 SEP a 24 SEP
| Clase M | 70% | 70% | 70% |
| Clase X | 25% | 25% | 25% |
| Protón | 05% | 05% | 05% |
| PCAF | GREEN | ||
IV. Penticton 10.7cm flujo
Observado 21 SEP 225 Previsto 22 SEP-24 SEP 230/235/235 Media de 90 Días 21 SEP 178
V. Índices Geomagnéticos A
OBSERVED AFR/AP 20 SEP 012/013 ESTIMATED AFR/AP 21 SEP 010/010 PREDICTED AFR/AP 22 SEP-24 SEP 010/010-010/010-010/010
VI. Probabilidades de Actividad Geomagnética 22 SEP a 24 SEP
| A. Latitudes Medias | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Activo | 20% | 20% | 20% |
| Tormenta Menor | 10% | 10% | 10% |
| Tormenta Mayor-Severa | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| B. Latitudes Altas | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Activo | 25% | 25% | 25% |
| Tormenta Menor | 10% | 10% | 10% |
| Tormenta Mayor-Severa | 01% | 01% | 01% |
All times in UTC
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