Viendo archivo del jueves, 23 noviembre 2000
Informe actividad solar
Any mentioned solar flare in this report has a scaling factor applied by the Space Weather Prediction Center (SWPC). Because of the SWPC scaling factor, solar flares are reported as 42% smaller than for the science quality data. The scaling factor has been removed from our archived solar flare data to reflect the true physical units.
Informe de actividad Solar-Geofísica 2000 Nov 23 2200 UTCPreparado por NOAA © SWPC y procesado por SpaceWeatherLive.com
Informe conjunto USAF/NOAA de actividad Solar y Geofísica
SDF Número 328 Publicado el 2200Z a las 23 Nov 2000IA. Análisis de regiones solares activas y de actividad desde 22-2100Z hasta 23-2100Z Solar activity remained at low levels; however,
frequent C-class events occurred throughout the period. Region 9238
(S22W48) produced a long duration C5/1f flare and CME at 23/0547Z.
Region 8231 (S23W62) produced several C-class flares, the largest
being an impulsive C7/1n flare at 23/1424Z. A long duration C7 flare
and CME in Region 8239 (S21E49) began at around 23/1930Z and remains
in progress. Region 9236 (N21E06), though not as active as
yesterday, retains moderate complexity and displayed increased
activity late in the period. New region 9241 (N21W19) was numbered
today.
IB. Pronóstico de la actividad solar
Solar activity is expected to be
moderate. Regions 9231 and 9236 will still be the likely source of
isolated M-class activity. Activity near the east limb may also
result in M-class flares.
IIA. Resumen de la actividad geofísica 22-2100Z a 23-2100Z
The geomagnetic field was quiet to unsettled with an isolated active
period between 23/03 - 06Z.
IIB. Pronóstico de la actividad geofísica
The geomagnetic field is
expected to continue at mostly quiet to unsettled levels through day
two. Field activity is expected to increase to active to minor storm
levels on day three due to the CME observed today at 23/0547Z.
III. Probabilidades del evento 24 Nov a 26 Nov
| Clase M | 50% | 50% | 50% |
| Clase X | 10% | 10% | 10% |
| Protón | 05% | 05% | 05% |
| PCAF | green | ||
IV. Penticton 10.7cm flujo
Observado 23 Nov 205 Previsto 24 Nov-26 Nov 210/210/205 Media de 90 Días 23 Nov 173
V. Índices Geomagnéticos A
Observado Afr/Ap 22 Nov 007/007 Estimado Afr/Ap 23 Nov 010/008 Previsto Afr/Ap 24 Nov-26 Nov 010/010-012/015-020/025
VI. Probabilidades de Actividad Geomagnética 24 Nov a 26 Nov
| A. Latitudes Medias | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Activo | 20% | 35% | 50% |
| Tormenta Menor | 10% | 20% | 30% |
| Tormenta Mayor-Severa | 05% | 10% | 20% |
| B. Latitudes Altas | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Activo | 35% | 45% | 45% |
| Tormenta Menor | 10% | 25% | 35% |
| Tormenta Mayor-Severa | 05% | 15% | 20% |
All times in UTC
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