Viendo archivo del miércoles, 22 noviembre 2000
Informe actividad solar
Any mentioned solar flare in this report has a scaling factor applied by the Space Weather Prediction Center (SWPC). Because of the SWPC scaling factor, solar flares are reported as 42% smaller than for the science quality data. The scaling factor has been removed from our archived solar flare data to reflect the true physical units.
Informe de actividad Solar-Geofísica 2000 Nov 22 2200 UTCPreparado por NOAA © SWPC y procesado por SpaceWeatherLive.com
Informe conjunto USAF/NOAA de actividad Solar y Geofísica
SDF Número 327 Publicado el 2200Z a las 22 Nov 2000IA. Análisis de regiones solares activas y de actividad desde 21-2100Z hasta 22-2100Z Solar activity was low. Region 9236 (N20E19) became
very active early in the period and has produced several c-class
flares. The largest flare from this region was a C7/1n at 22/1621Z,
with associated Type II sweep and moderate to strong radio bursts,
including a 500sfu Tenflare. Small C-class flares were also observed
in Regions 9237 (N09W73) and 9240 (N09E72). New region 9240
(N09E72) was numbered today.
IB. Pronóstico de la actividad solar
Solar activity is expected to increase
to moderate levels over the next three days. Regions 9231 (S24W50)
and 9236 are complex and have good potential for an isolated M-class
flare. Previous active longitudes, responsible for several
impressive CME's, are rotating to view on the East limb and may well
increase the chance for M-class flares.
IIA. Resumen de la actividad geofísica 21-2100Z a 22-2100Z
The geomagnetic field was quiet through 1200Z, but was mostly
unsettled since then.
IIB. Pronóstico de la actividad geofísica
The geomagnetic field is
expected to remain at quiet to unsettled levels.
III. Probabilidades del evento 23 Nov a 25 Nov
| Clase M | 50% | 60% | 60% |
| Clase X | 10% | 15% | 15% |
| Protón | 05% | 10% | 10% |
| PCAF | green | ||
IV. Penticton 10.7cm flujo
Observado 22 Nov 195 Previsto 23 Nov-25 Nov 200/210/210 Media de 90 Días 22 Nov 173
V. Índices Geomagnéticos A
Observado Afr/Ap 21 Nov 007/009 Estimado Afr/Ap 22 Nov 008/010 Previsto Afr/Ap 23 Nov-25 Nov 010/010-010/010-010/010
VI. Probabilidades de Actividad Geomagnética 23 Nov a 25 Nov
| A. Latitudes Medias | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Activo | 20% | 20% | 20% |
| Tormenta Menor | 10% | 10% | 10% |
| Tormenta Mayor-Severa | 05% | 05% | 05% |
| B. Latitudes Altas | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Activo | 35% | 35% | 35% |
| Tormenta Menor | 10% | 10% | 10% |
| Tormenta Mayor-Severa | 05% | 05% | 05% |
All times in UTC
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