Viendo archivo del viernes, 15 diciembre 2000
Informe actividad solar
Any mentioned solar flare in this report has a scaling factor applied by the Space Weather Prediction Center (SWPC). Because of the SWPC scaling factor, solar flares are reported as 42% smaller than for the science quality data. The scaling factor has been removed from our archived solar flare data to reflect the true physical units.
Informe de actividad Solar-Geofísica 2000 Dec 15 2200 UTCPreparado por NOAA © SWPC y procesado por SpaceWeatherLive.com
Informe conjunto USAF/NOAA de actividad Solar y Geofísica
SDF Número 350 Publicado el 2200Z a las 15 Dec 2000IA. Análisis de regiones solares activas y de actividad desde 14-2100Z hasta 15-2100Z Solar activity was low. Maximum activity continues to
be sporadic minor C-class events.
IB. Pronóstico de la actividad solar
Solar activity is expected to be low,
with the chance for an isolated M-class event.
IIA. Resumen de la actividad geofísica 14-2100Z a 15-2100Z
The geomagnetic field has been quiet at all latitudes for the past 24
hours. The greater than 2 MeV flux continued its recent daily
fluctuation between low and moderate levels.
IIB. Pronóstico de la actividad geofísica
The geomagnetic field is
expected to be low, with isolated periods of unsettled conditions,
for the next three days.
III. Probabilidades del evento 16 Dec a 18 Dec
| Clase M | 30% | 30% | 30% |
| Clase X | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| Protón | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| PCAF | green | ||
IV. Penticton 10.7cm flujo
Observado 15 Dec 188 Previsto 16 Dec-18 Dec 190/190/195 Media de 90 Días 15 Dec 176
V. Índices Geomagnéticos A
Observado Afr/Ap 14 Dec 002/004 Estimado Afr/Ap 15 Dec 003/006 Previsto Afr/Ap 16 Dec-18 Dec 005/008-005/008-005/008
VI. Probabilidades de Actividad Geomagnética 16 Dec a 18 Dec
| A. Latitudes Medias | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Activo | 20% | 20% | 20% |
| Tormenta Menor | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| Tormenta Mayor-Severa | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| B. Latitudes Altas | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Activo | 25% | 25% | 25% |
| Tormenta Menor | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| Tormenta Mayor-Severa | 01% | 01% | 01% |
All times in UTC
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