Viendo archivo del jueves, 11 enero 2001
Informe actividad solar
Any mentioned solar flare in this report has a scaling factor applied by the Space Weather Prediction Center (SWPC). Because of the SWPC scaling factor, solar flares are reported as 42% smaller than for the science quality data. The scaling factor has been removed from our archived solar flare data to reflect the true physical units.
Informe de actividad Solar-Geofísica 2001 Jan 11 2200 UTCPreparado por NOAA © SWPC y procesado por SpaceWeatherLive.com
Informe conjunto USAF/NOAA de actividad Solar y Geofísica
SDF Número 011 Publicado el 2200Z a las 11 Jan 2001IA. Análisis de regiones solares activas y de actividad desde 10-2100Z hasta 11-2100Z Solar activity was low. Only three isolated C-class
events occurred during the period. The largest was a C1/SF event
from Region 9308 (N14E39) at 10/0215 UTC. Region 9306 (N12E14)
developed into a more complex Beta-Gamma magnetic configuration
during the period but showed little activity during that time. One
new region was numbered, 9309 (N09W16).
IB. Pronóstico de la actividad solar
Solar activity is expected to persist
at low levels with possible isolated M-class events possible.
IIA. Resumen de la actividad geofísica 10-2100Z a 11-2100Z
The geomagnetic field was quiet to unsettled.
IIB. Pronóstico de la actividad geofísica
The geomagnetic field is
expected to be quiet to unsettled.
III. Probabilidades del evento 12 Jan a 14 Jan
| Clase M | 40% | 40% | 40% |
| Clase X | 05% | 05% | 05% |
| Protón | 05% | 05% | 05% |
| PCAF | green | ||
IV. Penticton 10.7cm flujo
Observado 11 Jan 166 Previsto 12 Jan-14 Jan 170/175/180 Media de 90 Días 11 Jan 174
V. Índices Geomagnéticos A
Observado Afr/Ap 10 Jan 005/004 Estimado Afr/Ap 11 Jan 005/005 Previsto Afr/Ap 12 Jan-14 Jan 010/007-015/012-010/012
VI. Probabilidades de Actividad Geomagnética 12 Jan a 14 Jan
| A. Latitudes Medias | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Activo | 25% | 30% | 25% |
| Tormenta Menor | 10% | 15% | 10% |
| Tormenta Mayor-Severa | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| B. Latitudes Altas | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Activo | 30% | 35% | 30% |
| Tormenta Menor | 10% | 15% | 10% |
| Tormenta Mayor-Severa | 01% | 01% | 01% |
All times in UTC
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