Viendo archivo del martes, 19 diciembre 2000
Informe actividad solar
Any mentioned solar flare in this report has a scaling factor applied by the Space Weather Prediction Center (SWPC). Because of the SWPC scaling factor, solar flares are reported as 42% smaller than for the science quality data. The scaling factor has been removed from our archived solar flare data to reflect the true physical units.
Informe de actividad Solar-Geofísica 2000 Dec 19 2200 UTCPreparado por NOAA © SWPC y procesado por SpaceWeatherLive.com
Informe conjunto USAF/NOAA de actividad Solar y Geofísica
SDF Número 354 Publicado el 2200Z a las 19 Dec 2000IA. Análisis de regiones solares activas y de actividad desde 18-2100Z hasta 19-2100Z Solar activity was low. Region 9278 (N09E37) produced
today's largest event, a C9/Sf at 1024Z. The region covers a
relatively small area, but showed additional brightenings and
subflares during the past 24 hours. Region 9279 (S11E54) contributed
a C3/1f at 18/2312Z. New region 9280 (N10E72) rotated into view
today as a moderate-sized D-type group but has been stable so far.
IB. Pronóstico de la actividad solar
Solar activity is expected to be low,
but there is a slight-to-fair chance for an isolated M-class event
sometime over the next three days.
IIA. Resumen de la actividad geofísica 18-2100Z a 19-2100Z
The geomagnetic field was quiet to unsettled during the past 24
hours.
IIB. Pronóstico de la actividad geofísica
The geomagnetic field is
expected to be mostly unsettled during the next 24 hours. An
increase to mostly active is expected during the 2nd and 3rd days as
a response to the full-halo CME that occurred on 18 December.
III. Probabilidades del evento 20 Dec a 22 Dec
| Clase M | 35% | 35% | 35% |
| Clase X | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| Protón | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| PCAF | green | ||
IV. Penticton 10.7cm flujo
Observado 19 Dec 199 Previsto 20 Dec-22 Dec 200/200/195 Media de 90 Días 19 Dec 176
V. Índices Geomagnéticos A
Observado Afr/Ap 18 Dec 007/010 Estimado Afr/Ap 19 Dec 005/010 Previsto Afr/Ap 20 Dec-22 Dec 010/012-025/025-025/025
VI. Probabilidades de Actividad Geomagnética 20 Dec a 22 Dec
| A. Latitudes Medias | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Activo | 25% | 30% | 30% |
| Tormenta Menor | 10% | 25% | 25% |
| Tormenta Mayor-Severa | 05% | 20% | 20% |
| B. Latitudes Altas | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Activo | 25% | 30% | 30% |
| Tormenta Menor | 10% | 25% | 25% |
| Tormenta Mayor-Severa | 05% | 20% | 20% |
All times in UTC
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