Viendo archivo del viernes, 5 enero 2001

Informe actividad solar

Any mentioned solar flare in this report has a scaling factor applied by the Space Weather Prediction Center (SWPC). Because of the SWPC scaling factor, solar flares are reported as 42% smaller than for the science quality data. The scaling factor has been removed from our archived solar flare data to reflect the true physical units.
Informe de actividad Solar-Geofísica 2001 Jan 05 2200 UTC
Preparado por NOAA © SWPC y procesado por SpaceWeatherLive.com

Informe conjunto USAF/NOAA de actividad Solar y Geofísica

SDF Número 005 Publicado el 2200Z a las 05 Jan 2001

IA. Análisis de regiones solares activas y de actividad desde 04-2100Z hasta 05-2100Z

Solar activity was low. Newly assigned Region 9302 (N19E66) produced a C6/Sf at 1851 UTC, the day's largest event. This region consists of bright plage and a few spots, although limb proximity prohibits extensive white light analysis. Infrequent small C-class events of uncertain origin were noted during the interval. Region 9289 (S07W52) is the largest of the twelve spotted regions.
IB. Pronóstico de la actividad solar
Solar activity is expected to be moderate. Region 9302 seems capable of M-level activity.
IIA. Resumen de la actividad geofísica 04-2100Z a 05-2100Z
The geomagnetic field was quiet to unsettled.
IIB. Pronóstico de la actividad geofísica
The geomagnetic field is expected to be unsettled throughout the period. A weak response to a high-speed solar wind stream may occur in the next 24 hours.
III. Probabilidades del evento 06 Jan a 08 Jan
Clase M60%60%60%
Clase X05%05%05%
Protón05%05%05%
PCAFgreen
IV. Penticton 10.7cm flujo
  Observado       05 Jan 176
  Previsto   06 Jan-08 Jan  180/180/175
  Media de 90 Días        05 Jan 173
V. Índices Geomagnéticos A
  Observado Afr/Ap 04 Jan  011/010
  Estimado     Afr/Ap 05 Jan  005/008
  Previsto    Afr/Ap 06 Jan-08 Jan  015/010-010/012-010/012
VI. Probabilidades de Actividad Geomagnética 06 Jan a 08 Jan
A. Latitudes Medias
Activo20%15%10%
Tormenta Menor10%05%05%
Tormenta Mayor-Severa05%01%01%
B. Latitudes Altas
Activo30%25%20%
Tormenta Menor15%10%10%
Tormenta Mayor-Severa05%05%05%

All times in UTC

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