Viendo archivo del sábado, 6 enero 2001

Informe actividad solar

Any mentioned solar flare in this report has a scaling factor applied by the Space Weather Prediction Center (SWPC). Because of the SWPC scaling factor, solar flares are reported as 42% smaller than for the science quality data. The scaling factor has been removed from our archived solar flare data to reflect the true physical units.
Informe de actividad Solar-Geofísica 2001 Jan 06 2200 UTC
Preparado por NOAA © SWPC y procesado por SpaceWeatherLive.com

Informe conjunto USAF/NOAA de actividad Solar y Geofísica

SDF Número 006 Publicado el 2200Z a las 06 Jan 2001

IA. Análisis de regiones solares activas y de actividad desde 05-2100Z hasta 06-2100Z

Solar activity was low. A C3 x-ray event at 1520 UTC, when both Regions 9302 (N19E52) and 9291 (S13W76) had Sf optical flares, was the premier flare event of the period. Little else of significance occurred, although another new region, 9303 (S04W47) emerged. Currently there are twelve assigned regions visible, with the possibility of more to come. There are reports of additional groups coming fully into view at east limb.
IB. Pronóstico de la actividad solar
Solar activity is expected to be low to moderate. Regions 9302 and 9289 (S05W67) have potential for M-class flares.
IIA. Resumen de la actividad geofísica 05-2100Z a 06-2100Z
The geomagnetic field was quiet to unsettled. There was an enhancement in the greater than 10 MeV protons at geosynchronous orbit that began late on 05 January. These particles may be an effect of a large halo CME directed away from earth seen by LASCO at 1706 UTC yesterday.
IIB. Pronóstico de la actividad geofísica
The geomagnetic field is expected to be unsettled through 09 January.
III. Probabilidades del evento 07 Jan a 09 Jan
Clase M50%50%50%
Clase X05%05%05%
Protón05%05%05%
PCAFgreen
IV. Penticton 10.7cm flujo
  Observado       06 Jan 179
  Previsto   07 Jan-09 Jan  180/175/180
  Media de 90 Días        06 Jan 173
V. Índices Geomagnéticos A
  Observado Afr/Ap 05 Jan  005/006
  Estimado     Afr/Ap 06 Jan  007/007
  Previsto    Afr/Ap 07 Jan-09 Jan  010/012-010/012-010/010
VI. Probabilidades de Actividad Geomagnética 07 Jan a 09 Jan
A. Latitudes Medias
Activo20%20%20%
Tormenta Menor10%10%10%
Tormenta Mayor-Severa01%01%01%
B. Latitudes Altas
Activo30%30%30%
Tormenta Menor10%10%10%
Tormenta Mayor-Severa05%05%05%

All times in UTC

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