Viendo archivo del sábado, 13 enero 2001

Informe actividad solar

Any mentioned solar flare in this report has a scaling factor applied by the Space Weather Prediction Center (SWPC). Because of the SWPC scaling factor, solar flares are reported as 42% smaller than for the science quality data. The scaling factor has been removed from our archived solar flare data to reflect the true physical units.
Informe de actividad Solar-Geofísica 2001 Jan 13 2200 UTC
Preparado por NOAA © SWPC y procesado por SpaceWeatherLive.com

Informe conjunto USAF/NOAA de actividad Solar y Geofísica

SDF Número 013 Publicado el 2200Z a las 13 Jan 2001

IA. Análisis de regiones solares activas y de actividad desde 12-2100Z hasta 13-2100Z

Solar activity was low. Several minor C-class events occurred during the period from Regions 9302 (N19W41) and 9306 (N13W13). The largest was a C3/Sf event produced by Region 9306 at 13/1946Z. Some minor growth was observed in Regions 9306 and 9308 (N16E07). No new regions were numbered today.
IB. Pronóstico de la actividad solar
Solar activity is expected to be low with the chance of an isoloated M-class event possible.
IIA. Resumen de la actividad geofísica 12-2100Z a 13-2100Z
The geomagnetic field was quiet to unsettled. A weak interplanetary shock passed the ACE spacecraft just before 13/0200Z. However, this shock only produced unsettled conditions. It is believed this activity is related to the halo CME observed on 10 January. Most of the energy associated with the CME on 10 January was directed eastward from the sun.
IIB. Pronóstico de la actividad geofísica
The geomagnetic field is expected to be mostly quiet to unsettled during the period with isolated active conditions possible on the first day.
III. Probabilidades del evento 14 Jan a 16 Jan
Clase M30%30%30%
Clase X05%05%05%
Protón05%05%05%
PCAFgreen
IV. Penticton 10.7cm flujo
  Observado       13 Jan 184
  Previsto   14 Jan-16 Jan  185/195/195
  Media de 90 Días        13 Jan 174
V. Índices Geomagnéticos A
  Observado Afr/Ap 12 Jan  005/007
  Estimado     Afr/Ap 13 Jan  008/007
  Previsto    Afr/Ap 14 Jan-16 Jan  010/008-005/005-005/005
VI. Probabilidades de Actividad Geomagnética 14 Jan a 16 Jan
A. Latitudes Medias
Activo25%20%20%
Tormenta Menor10%05%05%
Tormenta Mayor-Severa01%01%01%
B. Latitudes Altas
Activo30%25%25%
Tormenta Menor10%10%10%
Tormenta Mayor-Severa01%01%01%

All times in UTC

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