Viendo archivo del viernes, 19 enero 2001
Informe actividad solar
Any mentioned solar flare in this report has a scaling factor applied by the Space Weather Prediction Center (SWPC). Because of the SWPC scaling factor, solar flares are reported as 42% smaller than for the science quality data. The scaling factor has been removed from our archived solar flare data to reflect the true physical units.
Informe de actividad Solar-Geofísica 2001 Jan 19 2200 UTCPreparado por NOAA © SWPC y procesado por SpaceWeatherLive.com
Informe conjunto USAF/NOAA de actividad Solar y Geofísica
SDF Número 019 Publicado el 2200Z a las 19 Jan 2001IA. Análisis de regiones solares activas y de actividad desde 18-2100Z hasta 19-2100Z Solar activity has been moderate. A long duration
M1/Sf flare occurred in Region 9313 (S07E57), max at 19/1710 UTC.
This event consisted of several eruptive centers that brightened at
various times over the duration of the flare. A small filament in
this region was also reported active during the event and a CME was
observed. Several new regions were numbered: Region 9315
(S28E44), Region 9316 (S17E75), and Region 9317 (N08W72).
IB. Pronóstico de la actividad solar
Solar activity is expected to be low
to moderate. Isolated M class events are possible.
IIA. Resumen de la actividad geofísica 18-2100Z a 19-2100Z
The geomagnetic field has been quiet.
IIB. Pronóstico de la actividad geofísica
The geomagnetic field is
expected to remain quiet.
III. Probabilidades del evento 20 Jan a 22 Jan
| Clase M | 30% | 30% | 30% |
| Clase X | 05% | 05% | 05% |
| Protón | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| PCAF | green | ||
IV. Penticton 10.7cm flujo
Observado 19 Jan 153 Previsto 20 Jan-22 Jan 150/145/150 Media de 90 Días 19 Jan 175
V. Índices Geomagnéticos A
Observado Afr/Ap 18 Jan 004/004 Estimado Afr/Ap 19 Jan 002/005 Previsto Afr/Ap 20 Jan-22 Jan 005/008-005/008-005/005
VI. Probabilidades de Actividad Geomagnética 20 Jan a 22 Jan
| A. Latitudes Medias | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Activo | 10% | 10% | 10% |
| Tormenta Menor | 05% | 05% | 05% |
| Tormenta Mayor-Severa | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| B. Latitudes Altas | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Activo | 25% | 25% | 10% |
| Tormenta Menor | 10% | 10% | 05% |
| Tormenta Mayor-Severa | 01% | 01% | 01% |
All times in UTC
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