Viendo archivo del jueves, 18 enero 2001

Informe actividad solar

Any mentioned solar flare in this report has a scaling factor applied by the Space Weather Prediction Center (SWPC). Because of the SWPC scaling factor, solar flares are reported as 42% smaller than for the science quality data. The scaling factor has been removed from our archived solar flare data to reflect the true physical units.
Informe de actividad Solar-Geofísica 2001 Jan 18 2200 UTC
Preparado por NOAA © SWPC y procesado por SpaceWeatherLive.com

Informe conjunto USAF/NOAA de actividad Solar y Geofísica

SDF Número 018 Publicado el 2200Z a las 18 Jan 2001

IA. Análisis de regiones solares activas y de actividad desde 17-2100Z hasta 18-2100Z

Solar activity was low. Several small C class X-ray events have been recorded, most were optically uncorrelated. A new region has rotated over the east limb, Region 9313 (S08E73). This area contains a D type spot group and may actually be two separate regions. Region 9314 (N15W44) was also numbered. A small region may be developing near S29E55.
IB. Pronóstico de la actividad solar
Solar activity is expected to be at low levels.
IIA. Resumen de la actividad geofísica 17-2100Z a 18-2100Z
The geomagnetic field has been quiet.
IIB. Pronóstico de la actividad geofísica
The geomagnetic field is expected to be quiet to unsettled.
III. Probabilidades del evento 19 Jan a 21 Jan
Clase M30%20%10%
Clase X05%01%01%
Protón05%01%01%
PCAFgreen
IV. Penticton 10.7cm flujo
  Observado       18 Jan 152
  Previsto   19 Jan-21 Jan  148/145/140
  Media de 90 Días        18 Jan 175
V. Índices Geomagnéticos A
  Observado Afr/Ap 17 Jan  004/007
  Estimado     Afr/Ap 18 Jan  004/005
  Previsto    Afr/Ap 19 Jan-21 Jan  005/008-005/008-005/008
VI. Probabilidades de Actividad Geomagnética 19 Jan a 21 Jan
A. Latitudes Medias
Activo20%20%20%
Tormenta Menor05%05%05%
Tormenta Mayor-Severa01%01%01%
B. Latitudes Altas
Activo20%20%25%
Tormenta Menor10%10%10%
Tormenta Mayor-Severa01%01%01%

All times in UTC

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