Viendo archivo del sábado, 10 febrero 2001

Informe actividad solar

Any mentioned solar flare in this report has a scaling factor applied by the Space Weather Prediction Center (SWPC). Because of the SWPC scaling factor, solar flares are reported as 42% smaller than for the science quality data. The scaling factor has been removed from our archived solar flare data to reflect the true physical units.
Informe de actividad Solar-Geofísica 2001 Feb 10 2200 UTC
Preparado por NOAA © SWPC y procesado por SpaceWeatherLive.com

Informe conjunto USAF/NOAA de actividad Solar y Geofísica

SDF Número 041 Publicado el 2200Z a las 10 Feb 2001

IA. Análisis de regiones solares activas y de actividad desde 09-2100Z hasta 10-2100Z

Solar activity was low. Region 9338 (S20W15) was the prime flare site. It produced two C3/Sf flares, at 09/2150 and 09/2321 UTC. These were the largest events of the period. Two new regions were assigned, 9348 (N10E05) and 9349 (N27E58).
IB. Pronóstico de la actividad solar
Solar activity is expected to persist at the low level.
IIA. Resumen de la actividad geofísica 09-2100Z a 10-2100Z
The geomagnetic field was quiet to unsettled.
IIB. Pronóstico de la actividad geofísica
The geomagnetic field is expected to be quiet throughout the period.
III. Probabilidades del evento 11 Feb a 13 Feb
Clase M10%10%10%
Clase X01%01%01%
Protón01%01%01%
PCAFgreen
IV. Penticton 10.7cm flujo
  Observado       10 Feb 161
  Previsto   11 Feb-13 Feb  165/165/165
  Media de 90 Días        10 Feb 171
V. Índices Geomagnéticos A
  Observado Afr/Ap 09 Feb  003/004
  Estimado     Afr/Ap 10 Feb  006/005
  Previsto    Afr/Ap 11 Feb-13 Feb  005/005-005/005-005/005
VI. Probabilidades de Actividad Geomagnética 11 Feb a 13 Feb
A. Latitudes Medias
Activo10%10%10%
Tormenta Menor05%05%05%
Tormenta Mayor-Severa01%01%01%
B. Latitudes Altas
Activo15%15%15%
Tormenta Menor10%10%10%
Tormenta Mayor-Severa05%05%05%

All times in UTC

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