Viendo archivo del viernes, 9 marzo 2001

Informe actividad solar

Any mentioned solar flare in this report has a scaling factor applied by the Space Weather Prediction Center (SWPC). Because of the SWPC scaling factor, solar flares are reported as 42% smaller than for the science quality data. The scaling factor has been removed from our archived solar flare data to reflect the true physical units.
Informe de actividad Solar-Geofísica 2001 Mar 09 2200 UTC
Preparado por NOAA © SWPC y procesado por SpaceWeatherLive.com

Informe conjunto USAF/NOAA de actividad Solar y Geofísica

SDF Número 068 Publicado el 2200Z a las 09 Mar 2001

IA. Análisis de regiones solares activas y de actividad desde 08-2100Z hasta 09-2100Z

Solar activity has been moderate. The largest event of the day was an M1/1b flare from Region 9368 (N26W44) at 09/0157 UTC. A long duration M1 flare also occurred at 09/1028 UTC, but without definitive optical correlation. Possible sources indicated by EIT imagery include east and west limb activity as well as Region 9370 (N11W24), but LASCO data indicate no associated CME. Newly numbered and rapidly developing Region 9372 (S37W50) produced several C-class flares, the largest a C7/Sf at 09/2027 UTC. Region 9373 (S07E71) was also numbered today.
IB. Pronóstico de la actividad solar
Solar activity is expected to be low to moderate. Active regions noted in section 1A above are all possible sources of isolated M-class activity.
IIA. Resumen de la actividad geofísica 08-2100Z a 09-2100Z
The geomagnetic field was quiet to unsettled. Greater-than-2 MeV electrons at geosynchronous orbit were moderately enhanced.
IIB. Pronóstico de la actividad geofísica
The geomagnetic field is expected to be at quiet to unsettled levels through day one. Isolated active and minor storm periods are possible on days two and three, primarily due to the expected influence of a recurrent coronal hole. There is also a small chance for peripheral transient effects from the CME activity of 8 March during the same period.
III. Probabilidades del evento 10 Mar a 12 Mar
Clase M50%50%50%
Clase X05%05%05%
Protón05%05%05%
PCAFgreen
IV. Penticton 10.7cm flujo
  Observado       09 Mar 161
  Previsto   10 Mar-12 Mar  165/165/165
  Media de 90 Días        09 Mar 163
V. Índices Geomagnéticos A
  Observado Afr/Ap 08 Mar  007/006
  Estimado     Afr/Ap 09 Mar  005/006
  Previsto    Afr/Ap 10 Mar-12 Mar  005/007-010/015-008/010
VI. Probabilidades de Actividad Geomagnética 10 Mar a 12 Mar
A. Latitudes Medias
Activo20%25%20%
Tormenta Menor01%05%01%
Tormenta Mayor-Severa01%01%01%
B. Latitudes Altas
Activo20%30%25%
Tormenta Menor05%05%05%
Tormenta Mayor-Severa01%01%01%

All times in UTC

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