Viendo archivo del miércoles, 14 febrero 2001
Informe actividad solar
Any mentioned solar flare in this report has a scaling factor applied by the Space Weather Prediction Center (SWPC). Because of the SWPC scaling factor, solar flares are reported as 42% smaller than for the science quality data. The scaling factor has been removed from our archived solar flare data to reflect the true physical units.
Informe de actividad Solar-Geofísica 2001 Feb 14 2200 UTCPreparado por NOAA © SWPC y procesado por SpaceWeatherLive.com
Informe conjunto USAF/NOAA de actividad Solar y Geofísica
SDF Número 045 Publicado el 2200Z a las 14 Feb 2001IA. Análisis de regiones solares activas y de actividad desde 13-2100Z hasta 14-2100Z Solar activity was low. A single C-class event
occurred, a C1/Sf from Region 9350 (N18E30), at 14/0618 UTC. Most of
the regions remained stable during the period.
IB. Pronóstico de la actividad solar
Solar activity is expected to continue
to be low.
IIA. Resumen de la actividad geofísica 13-2100Z a 14-2100Z
The geomagnetic field was at unsettled to active levels. The solar
wind speed remained in the 500 to 600 km/s range during most of the
period.
IIB. Pronóstico de la actividad geofísica
The geomagnetic field is
expected to be mostly unsettled during the first half of the period
and then quiet to unsettled during the remainder.
III. Probabilidades del evento 15 Feb a 17 Feb
| Clase M | 10% | 10% | 10% |
| Clase X | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| Protón | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| PCAF | green | ||
IV. Penticton 10.7cm flujo
Observado 14 Feb 138 Previsto 15 Feb-17 Feb 140/145/145 Media de 90 Días 14 Feb 171
V. Índices Geomagnéticos A
Observado Afr/Ap 13 Feb 016/019 Estimado Afr/Ap 14 Feb 020/020 Previsto Afr/Ap 15 Feb-17 Feb 015/015-010/015-010/012
VI. Probabilidades de Actividad Geomagnética 15 Feb a 17 Feb
| A. Latitudes Medias | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Activo | 40% | 30% | 30% |
| Tormenta Menor | 20% | 10% | 10% |
| Tormenta Mayor-Severa | 05% | 01% | 01% |
| B. Latitudes Altas | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Activo | 50% | 40% | 40% |
| Tormenta Menor | 30% | 20% | 20% |
| Tormenta Mayor-Severa | 10% | 05% | 05% |
All times in UTC
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