Viendo archivo del miércoles, 28 febrero 2001

Informe actividad solar

Any mentioned solar flare in this report has a scaling factor applied by the Space Weather Prediction Center (SWPC). Because of the SWPC scaling factor, solar flares are reported as 42% smaller than for the science quality data. The scaling factor has been removed from our archived solar flare data to reflect the true physical units.
Informe de actividad Solar-Geofísica 2001 Feb 28 2200 UTC
Preparado por NOAA © SWPC y procesado por SpaceWeatherLive.com

Informe conjunto USAF/NOAA de actividad Solar y Geofísica

SDF Número 059 Publicado el 2200Z a las 28 Feb 2001

IA. Análisis de regiones solares activas y de actividad desde 27-2100Z hasta 28-2100Z

Solar activity has been very low. An 11 degree filament (S17W05) disappeared between 28/1146-1323 UTC. A corresponding CME was observed by the LASCO imagery. Two new regions were numbered today as Region 9364 (S10W16) and 9365 (S08E37).
IB. Pronóstico de la actividad solar
Solar activity is expected to be very low to low.
IIA. Resumen de la actividad geofísica 27-2100Z a 28-2100Z
The geomagnetic field was quiet to unsettled.
IIB. Pronóstico de la actividad geofísica
The geomagnetic field is expected to be quiet to unsettled the next two days of the forecast. Unsettled to active conditions are expected on day three as a result of today's CME.
III. Probabilidades del evento 01 Mar a 03 Mar
Clase M10%10%10%
Clase X01%01%01%
Protón01%01%01%
PCAFgreen
IV. Penticton 10.7cm flujo
  Observado       28 Feb 132
  Previsto   01 Mar-03 Mar  130/135/140
  Media de 90 Días        28 Feb 163
V. Índices Geomagnéticos A
  Observado Afr/Ap 27 Feb  008/013
  Estimado     Afr/Ap 28 Feb  008/010
  Previsto    Afr/Ap 01 Mar-03 Mar  008/008-005/005-015/015
VI. Probabilidades de Actividad Geomagnética 01 Mar a 03 Mar
A. Latitudes Medias
Activo20%15%30%
Tormenta Menor05%05%10%
Tormenta Mayor-Severa01%01%06%
B. Latitudes Altas
Activo25%20%40%
Tormenta Menor10%05%20%
Tormenta Mayor-Severa01%01%05%

All times in UTC

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