Viendo archivo del jueves, 1 marzo 2001
Informe actividad solar
Any mentioned solar flare in this report has a scaling factor applied by the Space Weather Prediction Center (SWPC). Because of the SWPC scaling factor, solar flares are reported as 42% smaller than for the science quality data. The scaling factor has been removed from our archived solar flare data to reflect the true physical units.
Informe de actividad Solar-Geofísica 2001 Mar 01 2200 UTCPreparado por NOAA © SWPC y procesado por SpaceWeatherLive.com
Informe conjunto USAF/NOAA de actividad Solar y Geofísica
SDF Número 060 Publicado el 2200Z a las 01 Mar 2001IA. Análisis de regiones solares activas y de actividad desde 28-2100Z hasta 01-2100Z Solar activity has been low. Region 9364 (S10W30)
produced a C1/sf at 01/1822 UTC. A 9 degree filament (S30E40)
disappeared between 28/1734 UTC and 01/1113 UTC.
IB. Pronóstico de la actividad solar
Solar activity is expected to remain
very low to low.
IIA. Resumen de la actividad geofísica 28-2100Z a 01-2100Z
The geomagnetic field was quiet to unsettled.
IIB. Pronóstico de la actividad geofísica
The geomagnetic field is
expected to be predominately quiet to unsettled. Unsettled to
active conditions are possible on the second and third day of the
forecast as a result of the CME observed on 28 February.
III. Probabilidades del evento 02 Mar a 04 Mar
| Clase M | 10% | 10% | 10% |
| Clase X | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| Protón | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| PCAF | green | ||
IV. Penticton 10.7cm flujo
Observado 01 Mar 131 Previsto 02 Mar-04 Mar 135/140/145 Media de 90 Días 01 Mar 162
V. Índices Geomagnéticos A
Observado Afr/Ap 28 Feb 006/007 Estimado Afr/Ap 01 Mar 008/005 Previsto Afr/Ap 02 Mar-04 Mar 005/005-015/012-010/008
VI. Probabilidades de Actividad Geomagnética 02 Mar a 04 Mar
| A. Latitudes Medias | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Activo | 15% | 30% | 20% |
| Tormenta Menor | 05% | 10% | 05% |
| Tormenta Mayor-Severa | 01% | 05% | 01% |
| B. Latitudes Altas | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Activo | 20% | 40% | 25% |
| Tormenta Menor | 05% | 20% | 10% |
| Tormenta Mayor-Severa | 01% | 05% | 01% |
All times in UTC
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