Viendo archivo del lunes, 5 marzo 2001
Informe actividad solar
Any mentioned solar flare in this report has a scaling factor applied by the Space Weather Prediction Center (SWPC). Because of the SWPC scaling factor, solar flares are reported as 42% smaller than for the science quality data. The scaling factor has been removed from our archived solar flare data to reflect the true physical units.
Informe de actividad Solar-Geofísica 2001 Mar 05 2200 UTCPreparado por NOAA © SWPC y procesado por SpaceWeatherLive.com
Informe conjunto USAF/NOAA de actividad Solar y Geofísica
SDF Número 064 Publicado el 2200Z a las 05 Mar 2001IA. Análisis de regiones solares activas y de actividad desde 04-2100Z hasta 05-2100Z Solar activity remained at low levels. Isolated B- and
C-class X-ray bursts occurred. Minor growth was noted within Regions
9366 (S25E00), 9368 (N26E08), 9370 (N09E28), and newly numbered
Region 9371 (N21W51). However, all regions remained simply
structured.
IB. Pronóstico de la actividad solar
Solar activity is expected to be low
with a slight to fair chance for an isolated M-class flare.
IIA. Resumen de la actividad geofísica 04-2100Z a 05-2100Z
Activity ranged from quiet to minor storm levels. Active to
(isolated) minor storm conditions occurred during the first half of
the period due to recurrent coronal hole effects. Activity dropped
to quiet to unsettled levels after 05/1200 UTC.
IIB. Pronóstico de la actividad geofísica
Geomagnetic field activity is
expected to be at quiet to active levels on 06 March as coronal hole
effects continue. Quiet to unsettled levels are expected during the
rest of the period. The greater than 2 MeV electron flux at
geosynchronous orbit may reach high levels during the period.
III. Probabilidades del evento 06 Mar a 08 Mar
| Clase M | 30% | 30% | 30% |
| Clase X | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| Protón | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| PCAF | green | ||
IV. Penticton 10.7cm flujo
Observado 05 Mar 156 Previsto 06 Mar-08 Mar 155/155/160 Media de 90 Días 05 Mar 162
V. Índices Geomagnéticos A
Observado Afr/Ap 04 Mar 016/017 Estimado Afr/Ap 05 Mar 020/024 Previsto Afr/Ap 06 Mar-08 Mar 015/015-008/010-007/008
VI. Probabilidades de Actividad Geomagnética 06 Mar a 08 Mar
| A. Latitudes Medias | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Activo | 40% | 20% | 15% |
| Tormenta Menor | 10% | 05% | 01% |
| Tormenta Mayor-Severa | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| B. Latitudes Altas | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Activo | 45% | 30% | 20% |
| Tormenta Menor | 20% | 10% | 05% |
| Tormenta Mayor-Severa | 05% | 01% | 01% |
All times in UTC
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