Viendo archivo del viernes, 13 julio 2001
Informe actividad solar
Any mentioned solar flare in this report has a scaling factor applied by the Space Weather Prediction Center (SWPC). Because of the SWPC scaling factor, solar flares are reported as 42% smaller than for the science quality data. The scaling factor has been removed from our archived solar flare data to reflect the true physical units.
Informe de actividad Solar-Geofísica 2001 Jul 13 2200 UTCPreparado por NOAA © SWPC y procesado por SpaceWeatherLive.com
Informe conjunto USAF/NOAA de actividad Solar y Geofísica
SDF Número 194 Publicado el 2200Z a las 13 Jul 2001IA. Análisis de regiones solares activas y de actividad desde 12-2100Z hasta 13-2100Z Solar activity was at very low conditions. Regions 9533
(S09W26) and 9539 (S19E11) produced sporadic minor activity during
the period. Two new regions were numbered: 9540 (N13E42) and 9541
(N16E69). Overall, the sun was mostly quiet and stable.
IB. Pronóstico de la actividad solar
Solar activity is expected to continue
to be very low to low.
IIA. Resumen de la actividad geofísica 12-2100Z a 13-2100Z
The geomagnetic field was at quiet to unsettled conditions.
IIB. Pronóstico de la actividad geofísica
The geomagnetic field is
expected to be at mostly quiet to unsettled conditions. Isolated
active conditions may be possible, starting on the third day, due to
a potentially favorably positioned coronal hole.
III. Probabilidades del evento 14 Jul a 16 Jul
| Clase M | 15% | 15% | 15% |
| Clase X | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| Protón | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| PCAF | green | ||
IV. Penticton 10.7cm flujo
Observado 13 Jul 133 Previsto 14 Jul-16 Jul 135/135/140 Media de 90 Días 13 Jul 158
V. Índices Geomagnéticos A
Observado Afr/Ap 12 Jul 008/009 Estimado Afr/Ap 13 Jul 008/010 Previsto Afr/Ap 14 Jul-16 Jul 008/010-008/010-012/012
VI. Probabilidades de Actividad Geomagnética 14 Jul a 16 Jul
| A. Latitudes Medias | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Activo | 15% | 15% | 20% |
| Tormenta Menor | 05% | 05% | 05% |
| Tormenta Mayor-Severa | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| B. Latitudes Altas | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Activo | 20% | 20% | 25% |
| Tormenta Menor | 05% | 05% | 10% |
| Tormenta Mayor-Severa | 01% | 01% | 01% |
All times in UTC
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