Viendo archivo del jueves, 9 agosto 2001
Informe actividad solar
Any mentioned solar flare in this report has a scaling factor applied by the Space Weather Prediction Center (SWPC). Because of the SWPC scaling factor, solar flares are reported as 42% smaller than for the science quality data. The scaling factor has been removed from our archived solar flare data to reflect the true physical units.
Informe de actividad Solar-Geofísica 2001 Aug 09 2200 UTCPreparado por NOAA © SWPC y procesado por SpaceWeatherLive.com
Informe conjunto USAF/NOAA de actividad Solar y Geofísica
SDF Número 221 Publicado el 2200Z a las 09 Aug 2001IA. Análisis de regiones solares activas y de actividad desde 08-2100Z hasta 09-2100Z Solar activity was low. Region 9570 (S12E20) produced
the largest event during the period with a C7/1f flare at 09/1834
UTC. A long duration C3 event was observed at 09/1122 UTC. There
were no optical reports with this event, however, it was likely
associated with a CME observed off of the west limb from the
SOHO/LASCO images.
IB. Pronóstico de la actividad solar
Solar activity is expected to be low
to moderate. Regions 9563 (N24W61) and 9566 (N17W45) are both
capable of producing possible M-class events.
IIA. Resumen de la actividad geofísica 08-2100Z a 09-2100Z
The geomagnetic field was quiet to unsettled. One active period was
observed at 09/0600 UTC.
IIB. Pronóstico de la actividad geofísica
The geomagnetic field is
expected to be quiet to unsettled for August 10th and 11th. Active
conditions are possible on August 12th due to a favorably positioned
coronal hole.
III. Probabilidades del evento 10 Aug a 12 Aug
| Clase M | 50% | 50% | 30% |
| Clase X | 05% | 05% | 01% |
| Protón | 05% | 05% | 01% |
| PCAF | green | ||
IV. Penticton 10.7cm flujo
Observado 09 Aug 163 Previsto 10 Aug-12 Aug 155/150/150 Media de 90 Días 09 Aug 150
V. Índices Geomagnéticos A
Observado Afr/Ap 08 Aug 007/009 Estimado Afr/Ap 09 Aug 010/010 Previsto Afr/Ap 10 Aug-12 Aug 010/010-010/010-015/025
VI. Probabilidades de Actividad Geomagnética 10 Aug a 12 Aug
| A. Latitudes Medias | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Activo | 15% | 15% | 25% |
| Tormenta Menor | 05% | 05% | 05% |
| Tormenta Mayor-Severa | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| B. Latitudes Altas | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Activo | 15% | 15% | 40% |
| Tormenta Menor | 05% | 05% | 10% |
| Tormenta Mayor-Severa | 01% | 01% | 05% |
All times in UTC
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