Viendo archivo del jueves, 6 septiembre 2001
Informe actividad solar
Any mentioned solar flare in this report has a scaling factor applied by the Space Weather Prediction Center (SWPC). Because of the SWPC scaling factor, solar flares are reported as 42% smaller than for the science quality data. The scaling factor has been removed from our archived solar flare data to reflect the true physical units.
Informe de actividad Solar-Geofísica 2001 Sep 06 2200 UTCPreparado por NOAA © SWPC y procesado por SpaceWeatherLive.com
Informe conjunto USAF/NOAA de actividad Solar y Geofísica
SDF Número 249 Publicado el 2200Z a las 06 Sep 2001IA. Análisis de regiones solares activas y de actividad desde 05-2100Z hasta 06-2100Z Solar activity was moderate. An M2/Sf flare occurred in
Region 9608 (S26E56) at 05/2233 UTC. The next largest flare of the
past day was a C8 at 06/0346 UTC. Although no optical flare reports
were received, observations from the SOHO spacecraft suggest that
Region 9601 (N11W51) was the source. Regions 9605 (S18E12), 9607
(S15E42), and new Region 9610 (S10E71) also produced C-class
subflares. Regions 9601 and 9608 remain the largest and most
magnetically complex sunspot groups. New Region 9609 (S07W53) was
also numbered.
IB. Pronóstico de la actividad solar
Solar activity is expected to be
moderate to high. Additional M-class flares are likely with Regions
9601 and 9608 the most probable producers. A chance of an isolated
major flare in these areas also exists.
IIA. Resumen de la actividad geofísica 05-2100Z a 06-2100Z
The geomagnetic field was quiet to unsettled.
IIB. Pronóstico de la actividad geofísica
The geomagnetic field is
expected to be quiet to unsettled.
III. Probabilidades del evento 07 Sep a 09 Sep
| Clase M | 75% | 75% | 75% |
| Clase X | 15% | 15% | 15% |
| Protón | 10% | 10% | 10% |
| PCAF | green | ||
IV. Penticton 10.7cm flujo
Observado 06 Sep 222 Previsto 07 Sep-09 Sep 225/230/230 Media de 90 Días 06 Sep 159
V. Índices Geomagnéticos A
Observado Afr/Ap 05 Sep 006/010 Estimado Afr/Ap 06 Sep 008/008 Previsto Afr/Ap 07 Sep-09 Sep 008/010-008/010-008/010
VI. Probabilidades de Actividad Geomagnética 07 Sep a 09 Sep
| A. Latitudes Medias | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Activo | 10% | 10% | 10% |
| Tormenta Menor | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| Tormenta Mayor-Severa | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| B. Latitudes Altas | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Activo | 15% | 15% | 15% |
| Tormenta Menor | 05% | 05% | 05% |
| Tormenta Mayor-Severa | 01% | 01% | 01% |
All times in UTC
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