Viendo archivo del jueves, 6 septiembre 2001

Informe actividad solar

Any mentioned solar flare in this report has a scaling factor applied by the Space Weather Prediction Center (SWPC). Because of the SWPC scaling factor, solar flares are reported as 42% smaller than for the science quality data. The scaling factor has been removed from our archived solar flare data to reflect the true physical units.
Informe de actividad Solar-Geofísica 2001 Sep 06 2200 UTC
Preparado por NOAA © SWPC y procesado por SpaceWeatherLive.com

Informe conjunto USAF/NOAA de actividad Solar y Geofísica

SDF Número 249 Publicado el 2200Z a las 06 Sep 2001

IA. Análisis de regiones solares activas y de actividad desde 05-2100Z hasta 06-2100Z

Solar activity was moderate. An M2/Sf flare occurred in Region 9608 (S26E56) at 05/2233 UTC. The next largest flare of the past day was a C8 at 06/0346 UTC. Although no optical flare reports were received, observations from the SOHO spacecraft suggest that Region 9601 (N11W51) was the source. Regions 9605 (S18E12), 9607 (S15E42), and new Region 9610 (S10E71) also produced C-class subflares. Regions 9601 and 9608 remain the largest and most magnetically complex sunspot groups. New Region 9609 (S07W53) was also numbered.
IB. Pronóstico de la actividad solar
Solar activity is expected to be moderate to high. Additional M-class flares are likely with Regions 9601 and 9608 the most probable producers. A chance of an isolated major flare in these areas also exists.
IIA. Resumen de la actividad geofísica 05-2100Z a 06-2100Z
The geomagnetic field was quiet to unsettled.
IIB. Pronóstico de la actividad geofísica
The geomagnetic field is expected to be quiet to unsettled.
III. Probabilidades del evento 07 Sep a 09 Sep
Clase M75%75%75%
Clase X15%15%15%
Protón10%10%10%
PCAFgreen
IV. Penticton 10.7cm flujo
  Observado       06 Sep 222
  Previsto   07 Sep-09 Sep  225/230/230
  Media de 90 Días        06 Sep 159
V. Índices Geomagnéticos A
  Observado Afr/Ap 05 Sep  006/010
  Estimado     Afr/Ap 06 Sep  008/008
  Previsto    Afr/Ap 07 Sep-09 Sep  008/010-008/010-008/010
VI. Probabilidades de Actividad Geomagnética 07 Sep a 09 Sep
A. Latitudes Medias
Activo10%10%10%
Tormenta Menor01%01%01%
Tormenta Mayor-Severa01%01%01%
B. Latitudes Altas
Activo15%15%15%
Tormenta Menor05%05%05%
Tormenta Mayor-Severa01%01%01%

All times in UTC

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