Viendo archivo del miércoles, 5 septiembre 2001

Informe actividad solar

Any mentioned solar flare in this report has a scaling factor applied by the Space Weather Prediction Center (SWPC). Because of the SWPC scaling factor, solar flares are reported as 42% smaller than for the science quality data. The scaling factor has been removed from our archived solar flare data to reflect the true physical units.
Informe de actividad Solar-Geofísica 2001 Sep 05 2200 UTC
Preparado por NOAA © SWPC y procesado por SpaceWeatherLive.com

Informe conjunto USAF/NOAA de actividad Solar y Geofísica

SDF Número 248 Publicado el 2200Z a las 05 Sep 2001

IA. Análisis de regiones solares activas y de actividad desde 04-2100Z hasta 05-2100Z

Solar activity was high. Region 9601 (N13W38) produced an M6/2b flare at 05/1432Z. Moderate centimetric radio bursts including a 770 sfu Tenflare accompanied this event. This region was also responsible for an M3/1n flare at 04/2159Z. Region 9606 (S17E32) produced an M1/1n at 05/1913Z. New Region 9608 (S24E70) was numbered today. Limb proximity hinders a detailed analysis of this region, but space based imagery indicates significant complexity exists.
IB. Pronóstico de la actividad solar
Solar activity is expected to continue at moderate to high levels. Regions 9601 and 9608 will likely produce C and M class flares. An isolated major flare is possible from either region.
IIA. Resumen de la actividad geofísica 04-2100Z a 05-2100Z
The geomagnetic field was quiet to unsettled.
IIB. Pronóstico de la actividad geofísica
The geomagnetic field is expected to remain at quiet to unsettled levels.
III. Probabilidades del evento 06 Sep a 08 Sep
Clase M75%75%75%
Clase X15%15%15%
Protón10%10%10%
PCAFyellow
IV. Penticton 10.7cm flujo
  Observado       05 Sep 218
  Previsto   06 Sep-08 Sep  215/215/215
  Media de 90 Días        05 Sep 159
V. Índices Geomagnéticos A
  Observado Afr/Ap 04 Sep  011/020
  Estimado     Afr/Ap 05 Sep  010/010
  Previsto    Afr/Ap 06 Sep-08 Sep  010/010-010/010-010/010
VI. Probabilidades de Actividad Geomagnética 06 Sep a 08 Sep
A. Latitudes Medias
Activo15%15%15%
Tormenta Menor05%05%05%
Tormenta Mayor-Severa01%01%01%
B. Latitudes Altas
Activo20%20%20%
Tormenta Menor05%05%05%
Tormenta Mayor-Severa01%01%01%

All times in UTC

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