Viendo archivo del domingo, 11 noviembre 2001
Informe actividad solar
Any mentioned solar flare in this report has a scaling factor applied by the Space Weather Prediction Center (SWPC). Because of the SWPC scaling factor, solar flares are reported as 42% smaller than for the science quality data. The scaling factor has been removed from our archived solar flare data to reflect the true physical units.
Informe de actividad Solar-Geofísica 2001 Nov 11 2200 UTCPreparado por NOAA © SWPC y procesado por SpaceWeatherLive.com
Informe conjunto USAF/NOAA de actividad Solar y Geofísica
SDF Número 315 Publicado el 2200Z a las 11 Nov 2001IA. Análisis de regiones solares activas y de actividad desde 10-2100Z hasta 11-2100Z Solar activity was moderate, due to a single M-class
event during the period. Region 9690 (S18W09) produced an M1/Sf
flare at 11/1103 UTC. Region 9690 remains a relatively large sunspot
group with a complex beta-gamma-delta magnetic configuration. This
region remained active through out the period, producing numerous
C-class flares and nearly continuous optical flaring. Spotless
Region 9686 (N15W78) produced a C5/Sf flare at 11/0035 UTC. Region
9697 (N11E76) was numbered today.
IB. Pronóstico de la actividad solar
Solar activity is expected to be at
mostly moderate levels with the chance of an isolated major flare
from Region 9690.
IIA. Resumen de la actividad geofísica 10-2100Z a 11-2100Z
The geomagnetic field was a mostly quiet levels with isolated
unsettled conditions.
IIB. Pronóstico de la actividad geofísica
The geomagnetic field is
expected to continue to be at quiet to unsettled conditions. There
will be a slight chance for a proton flare during the forecast
period.
III. Probabilidades del evento 12 Nov a 14 Nov
| Clase M | 90% | 90% | 90% |
| Clase X | 30% | 30% | 30% |
| Protón | 20% | 20% | 20% |
| PCAF | yellow | ||
IV. Penticton 10.7cm flujo
Observado 11 Nov 234 Previsto 12 Nov-14 Nov 235/235/230 Media de 90 Días 11 Nov 213
V. Índices Geomagnéticos A
Observado Afr/Ap 10 Nov 005/006 Estimado Afr/Ap 11 Nov 008/008 Previsto Afr/Ap 12 Nov-14 Nov 008/008-008/008-008/008
VI. Probabilidades de Actividad Geomagnética 12 Nov a 14 Nov
| A. Latitudes Medias | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Activo | 20% | 20% | 20% |
| Tormenta Menor | 10% | 10% | 10% |
| Tormenta Mayor-Severa | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| B. Latitudes Altas | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Activo | 20% | 20% | 20% |
| Tormenta Menor | 10% | 10% | 10% |
| Tormenta Mayor-Severa | 01% | 01% | 01% |
All times in UTC
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