Viendo archivo del domingo, 9 diciembre 2001
Informe actividad solar
Any mentioned solar flare in this report has a scaling factor applied by the Space Weather Prediction Center (SWPC). Because of the SWPC scaling factor, solar flares are reported as 42% smaller than for the science quality data. The scaling factor has been removed from our archived solar flare data to reflect the true physical units.
Informe de actividad Solar-Geofísica 2001 Dec 09 2200 UTCPreparado por NOAA © SWPC y procesado por SpaceWeatherLive.com
Informe conjunto USAF/NOAA de actividad Solar y Geofísica
SDF Número 343 Publicado el 2200Z a las 09 Dec 2001IA. Análisis de regiones solares activas y de actividad desde 08-2100Z hasta 09-2100Z Solar activity has been low during the past 24 hours.
Region 9727 (S20W10) produced today's largest flare: a C6/1f at 1541
UTC. There were several additional C-class flares during the day:
most of these were from Regions 9727 and 9733 (N14E58). However, a
C2 flare at 0421 UTC was observed to originate from the southeast
limb and was associated with a narrow-width CME. The region
subsequently rotated into view and was assigned 9734 (S12E81).
Region 9727 showed some growth today with the development of spots
north of the dominant leader spot.
IB. Pronóstico de la actividad solar
Solar activity is expected to be low
to moderate during the next three days. The main sources for
activity are expected to be Region 9727 and Region 9733.
IIA. Resumen de la actividad geofísica 08-2100Z a 09-2100Z
The geomagnetic field was quiet during the past 24 hours.
IIB. Pronóstico de la actividad geofísica
The geomagnetic field is
expected to be mostly unsettled for the next two days. Quiet to
unsettled levels are expected on the third day.
III. Probabilidades del evento 10 Dec a 12 Dec
| Clase M | 60% | 60% | 60% |
| Clase X | 10% | 10% | 10% |
| Protón | 10% | 10% | 10% |
| PCAF | green | ||
IV. Penticton 10.7cm flujo
Observado 09 Dec 224 Previsto 10 Dec-12 Dec 215/210/210 Media de 90 Días 09 Dec 219
V. Índices Geomagnéticos A
Observado Afr/Ap 08 Dec 007/005 Estimado Afr/Ap 09 Dec 007/004 Previsto Afr/Ap 10 Dec-12 Dec 012/012-010/010-007/008
VI. Probabilidades de Actividad Geomagnética 10 Dec a 12 Dec
| A. Latitudes Medias | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Activo | 25% | 20% | 20% |
| Tormenta Menor | 15% | 10% | 10% |
| Tormenta Mayor-Severa | 05% | 01% | 01% |
| B. Latitudes Altas | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Activo | 30% | 25% | 25% |
| Tormenta Menor | 20% | 15% | 15% |
| Tormenta Mayor-Severa | 05% | 01% | 01% |
All times in UTC
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