Viendo archivo del domingo, 23 diciembre 2001

Informe actividad solar

Any mentioned solar flare in this report has a scaling factor applied by the Space Weather Prediction Center (SWPC). Because of the SWPC scaling factor, solar flares are reported as 42% smaller than for the science quality data. The scaling factor has been removed from our archived solar flare data to reflect the true physical units.
Informe de actividad Solar-Geofísica 2001 Dec 23 2200 UTC
Preparado por NOAA © SWPC y procesado por SpaceWeatherLive.com

Informe conjunto USAF/NOAA de actividad Solar y Geofísica

SDF Número 357 Publicado el 2200Z a las 23 Dec 2001

IA. Análisis de regiones solares activas y de actividad desde 22-2100Z hasta 23-2100Z

Solar activity was low. Several C-class flares occurred from a number of active regions. Region 9742 (N10W29) remains the largest sunspot group currently on the disk. Although it continues to grow in sunspot number and area it has yet to produce significant flare activity. New Region 9754 (S09E61) was numbered.
IB. Pronóstico de la actividad solar
Solar activity is expected to be low to moderate. Region 9742 appears to be the most likely source of M-class flares.
IIA. Resumen de la actividad geofísica 22-2100Z a 23-2100Z
The geomagnetic field was quiet to unsettled.
IIB. Pronóstico de la actividad geofísica
The geomagnetic field is expected to be quiet to unsettled.
III. Probabilidades del evento 24 Dec a 26 Dec
Clase M60%60%60%
Clase X10%10%10%
Protón10%10%10%
PCAFgreen
IV. Penticton 10.7cm flujo
  Observado       23 Dec 255
  Previsto   24 Dec-26 Dec  260/265/270
  Media de 90 Días        23 Dec 218
V. Índices Geomagnéticos A
  Observado Afr/Ap 22 Dec  006/008
  Estimado     Afr/Ap 23 Dec  008/008
  Previsto    Afr/Ap 24 Dec-26 Dec  008/008-008/008-008/008
VI. Probabilidades de Actividad Geomagnética 24 Dec a 26 Dec
A. Latitudes Medias
Activo15%15%15%
Tormenta Menor01%01%01%
Tormenta Mayor-Severa01%01%01%
B. Latitudes Altas
Activo20%20%20%
Tormenta Menor05%05%05%
Tormenta Mayor-Severa01%01%01%

All times in UTC

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