Viendo archivo del jueves, 24 enero 2002
Informe actividad solar
Any mentioned solar flare in this report has a scaling factor applied by the Space Weather Prediction Center (SWPC). Because of the SWPC scaling factor, solar flares are reported as 42% smaller than for the science quality data. The scaling factor has been removed from our archived solar flare data to reflect the true physical units.
Informe de actividad Solar-Geofísica 2002 Jan 24 2200 UTCPreparado por NOAA © SWPC y procesado por SpaceWeatherLive.com
Informe conjunto USAF/NOAA de actividad Solar y Geofísica
SDF Número 024 Publicado el 2200Z a las 24 Jan 2002IA. Análisis de regiones solares activas y de actividad desde 23-2100Z hasta 24-2100Z Solar activity was low. The largest flare of the past
day was a long-duration C7 at 24/0439 UTC. Images from the SOHO
spacecraft suggest that the source of the event was from just behind
the east limb. Other areas only produced a few small subflares.
IB. Pronóstico de la actividad solar
Solar activity is expected to be low
to moderate. An isolated M-class flare is possible in Regions 9787
(S06W06) or 9788 (N18W30).
IIA. Resumen de la actividad geofísica 23-2100Z a 24-2100Z
The geomagnetic field was quiet.
IIB. Pronóstico de la actividad geofísica
The geomagnetic field is
expected to be quiet to unsettled.
III. Probabilidades del evento 25 Jan a 27 Jan
| Clase M | 30% | 30% | 30% |
| Clase X | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| Protón | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| PCAF | green | ||
IV. Penticton 10.7cm flujo
Observado 24 Jan 231 Previsto 25 Jan-27 Jan 225/225/225 Media de 90 Días 24 Jan 223
V. Índices Geomagnéticos A
Observado Afr/Ap 23 Jan 004/006 Estimado Afr/Ap 24 Jan 004/005 Previsto Afr/Ap 25 Jan-27 Jan 005/005-005/005-008/008
VI. Probabilidades de Actividad Geomagnética 25 Jan a 27 Jan
| A. Latitudes Medias | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Activo | 10% | 10% | 15% |
| Tormenta Menor | 01% | 01% | 05% |
| Tormenta Mayor-Severa | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| B. Latitudes Altas | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Activo | 15% | 15% | 20% |
| Tormenta Menor | 05% | 05% | 10% |
| Tormenta Mayor-Severa | 01% | 01% | 01% |
All times in UTC
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