Viendo archivo del viernes, 25 enero 2002

Informe actividad solar

Any mentioned solar flare in this report has a scaling factor applied by the Space Weather Prediction Center (SWPC). Because of the SWPC scaling factor, solar flares are reported as 42% smaller than for the science quality data. The scaling factor has been removed from our archived solar flare data to reflect the true physical units.
Informe de actividad Solar-Geofísica 2002 Jan 25 2200 UTC
Preparado por NOAA © SWPC y procesado por SpaceWeatherLive.com

Informe conjunto USAF/NOAA de actividad Solar y Geofísica

SDF Número 025 Publicado el 2200Z a las 25 Jan 2002

IA. Análisis de regiones solares activas y de actividad desde 24-2100Z hasta 25-2100Z

Solar activity was low. Region 9794 (N13W03) produced the largest flare of the past day, a C6/Sn at 25/0225 UTC. Region 9787 (S09W21) remains the largest sunspot group on the visible disk but is not particularly complex and has not produced major activity. New Regions 9800 (N07E63) and 9801 (S03E77) rotated into view.
IB. Pronóstico de la actividad solar
Solar activity is expected to be low to moderate. C-level activity is expected to continue and there is a small chance of an isolated M-class flare.
IIA. Resumen de la actividad geofísica 24-2100Z a 25-2100Z
The geomagnetic field was quiet to unsettled.
IIB. Pronóstico de la actividad geofísica
The geomagnetic field is expected to be quiet to unsettled.
III. Probabilidades del evento 26 Jan a 28 Jan
Clase M30%30%30%
Clase X01%01%01%
Protón01%01%01%
PCAFgreen
IV. Penticton 10.7cm flujo
  Observado       25 Jan 235
  Previsto   26 Jan-28 Jan  240/245/250
  Media de 90 Días        25 Jan 223
V. Índices Geomagnéticos A
  Observado Afr/Ap 24 Jan  003/004
  Estimado     Afr/Ap 25 Jan  006/006
  Previsto    Afr/Ap 26 Jan-28 Jan  008/008-008/010-008/010
VI. Probabilidades de Actividad Geomagnética 26 Jan a 28 Jan
A. Latitudes Medias
Activo15%15%15%
Tormenta Menor05%05%05%
Tormenta Mayor-Severa01%01%01%
B. Latitudes Altas
Activo20%20%20%
Tormenta Menor05%05%05%
Tormenta Mayor-Severa01%01%01%

All times in UTC

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