Viendo archivo del domingo, 27 enero 2002
Informe actividad solar
Any mentioned solar flare in this report has a scaling factor applied by the Space Weather Prediction Center (SWPC). Because of the SWPC scaling factor, solar flares are reported as 42% smaller than for the science quality data. The scaling factor has been removed from our archived solar flare data to reflect the true physical units.
Informe de actividad Solar-Geofísica 2002 Jan 27 2200 UTCPreparado por NOAA © SWPC y procesado por SpaceWeatherLive.com
Informe conjunto USAF/NOAA de actividad Solar y Geofísica
SDF Número 027 Publicado el 2200Z a las 27 Jan 2002IA. Análisis de regiones solares activas y de actividad desde 26-2100Z hasta 27-2100Z Solar activity was low. C-class flares continued, the
largest being a C6/Sf at 26/2228 UTC in Region 9788 (N17W70). Region
9787 (S08W48) also produced C-class activity during the past day.
Region 9800 (N07E35) continued to grow but did not generate any
flares. New Region 9803 (S24W47) emerged on the disk.
IB. Pronóstico de la actividad solar
Solar activity is expected to be low
to moderate. C-class activity should continue and there is a small
chance for an isolated M-class flare.
IIA. Resumen de la actividad geofísica 26-2100Z a 27-2100Z
The geomagnetic field was quiet to unsettled. The greater than 10 MeV
proton flux was enhanced from an event beyond the northwest limb,
reaching a peak of 9 pfu at 27/1710 UTC.
IIB. Pronóstico de la actividad geofísica
The geomagnetic field is
expected to be quiet to unsettled. The greater than 10 MeV proton
flux is not expected to exceed event thresholds.
III. Probabilidades del evento 28 Jan a 30 Jan
| Clase M | 30% | 30% | 30% |
| Clase X | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| Protón | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| PCAF | green | ||
IV. Penticton 10.7cm flujo
Observado 27 Jan 248 Previsto 28 Jan-30 Jan 250/255/260 Media de 90 Días 27 Jan 223
V. Índices Geomagnéticos A
Observado Afr/Ap 26 Jan 006/007 Estimado Afr/Ap 27 Jan 008/010 Previsto Afr/Ap 28 Jan-30 Jan 008/008-008/008-008/008
VI. Probabilidades de Actividad Geomagnética 28 Jan a 30 Jan
| A. Latitudes Medias | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Activo | 15% | 15% | 15% |
| Tormenta Menor | 05% | 05% | 05% |
| Tormenta Mayor-Severa | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| B. Latitudes Altas | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Activo | 20% | 20% | 20% |
| Tormenta Menor | 05% | 05% | 05% |
| Tormenta Mayor-Severa | 01% | 01% | 01% |
All times in UTC
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