Viendo archivo del sábado, 26 enero 2002
Informe actividad solar
Any mentioned solar flare in this report has a scaling factor applied by the Space Weather Prediction Center (SWPC). Because of the SWPC scaling factor, solar flares are reported as 42% smaller than for the science quality data. The scaling factor has been removed from our archived solar flare data to reflect the true physical units.
Informe de actividad Solar-Geofísica 2002 Jan 26 2200 UTCPreparado por NOAA © SWPC y procesado por SpaceWeatherLive.com
Informe conjunto USAF/NOAA de actividad Solar y Geofísica
SDF Número 026 Publicado el 2200Z a las 26 Jan 2002IA. Análisis de regiones solares activas y de actividad desde 25-2100Z hasta 26-2100Z Solar activity was moderate. New Region 9802 (S13E72)
produced an M1/Sf flare at 26/2005 UTC. This active region does not
appear particularly large or complex. Region 9787 (S09W33) remains
the largest group but has been relatively quiet.
IB. Pronóstico de la actividad solar
Solar activity is expected to be low
to moderate.
IIA. Resumen de la actividad geofísica 25-2100Z a 26-2100Z
The geomagnetic field was quiet to active.
IIB. Pronóstico de la actividad geofísica
The geomagnetic field is
expected to be quiet to unsettled.
III. Probabilidades del evento 27 Jan a 29 Jan
| Clase M | 30% | 30% | 30% |
| Clase X | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| Protón | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| PCAF | green | ||
IV. Penticton 10.7cm flujo
Observado 26 Jan 240 Previsto 27 Jan-29 Jan 240/245/250 Media de 90 Días 26 Jan 223
V. Índices Geomagnéticos A
Observado Afr/Ap 25 Jan 006/008 Estimado Afr/Ap 26 Jan 006/008 Previsto Afr/Ap 27 Jan-29 Jan 008/010-008/008-008/008
VI. Probabilidades de Actividad Geomagnética 27 Jan a 29 Jan
| A. Latitudes Medias | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Activo | 15% | 15% | 15% |
| Tormenta Menor | 05% | 05% | 05% |
| Tormenta Mayor-Severa | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| B. Latitudes Altas | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Activo | 20% | 20% | 20% |
| Tormenta Menor | 05% | 05% | 05% |
| Tormenta Mayor-Severa | 01% | 01% | 01% |
All times in UTC
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