Viendo archivo del martes, 26 febrero 2002

Informe actividad solar

Any mentioned solar flare in this report has a scaling factor applied by the Space Weather Prediction Center (SWPC). Because of the SWPC scaling factor, solar flares are reported as 42% smaller than for the science quality data. The scaling factor has been removed from our archived solar flare data to reflect the true physical units.
Informe de actividad Solar-Geofísica 2002 Feb 26 2200 UTC
Preparado por NOAA © SWPC y procesado por SpaceWeatherLive.com

Informe conjunto USAF/NOAA de actividad Solar y Geofísica

SDF Número 057 Publicado el 2200Z a las 26 Feb 2002

IA. Análisis de regiones solares activas y de actividad desde 25-2100Z hasta 26-2100Z

Solar activity was low. Several C-class subflares occurred from a variety of regions. The largest was an impulsive C9/Sf at 26/1027 UTC in Region 9830 (S17W92). Regions 9842 (S19W49) and 9846 (S03W68) continued to grow in sunspot number and area. Both regions produced C-class activity during the period.
IB. Pronóstico de la actividad solar
Solar activity is expected to be low to moderate. An isolated M-class flare is possible in Region 9830, 9842, or 9846.
IIA. Resumen de la actividad geofísica 25-2100Z a 26-2100Z
The geomagnetic field was quiet to unsettled.
IIB. Pronóstico de la actividad geofísica
The geomagnetic field is expected to be quiet to unsettled.
III. Probabilidades del evento 27 Feb a 01 Mar
Clase M50%50%50%
Clase X05%05%05%
Protón01%01%01%
PCAFgreen
IV. Penticton 10.7cm flujo
  Observado       26 Feb 208
  Previsto   27 Feb-01 Mar  200/195/190
  Media de 90 Días        26 Feb 223
V. Índices Geomagnéticos A
  Observado Afr/Ap 25 Feb  004/007
  Estimado     Afr/Ap 26 Feb  006/008
  Previsto    Afr/Ap 27 Feb-01 Mar  005/008-005/008-005/008
VI. Probabilidades de Actividad Geomagnética 27 Feb a 01 Mar
A. Latitudes Medias
Activo15%15%15%
Tormenta Menor05%05%05%
Tormenta Mayor-Severa01%01%01%
B. Latitudes Altas
Activo20%20%20%
Tormenta Menor05%05%05%
Tormenta Mayor-Severa01%01%01%

All times in UTC

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