Viendo archivo del miércoles, 27 febrero 2002
Informe actividad solar
Any mentioned solar flare in this report has a scaling factor applied by the Space Weather Prediction Center (SWPC). Because of the SWPC scaling factor, solar flares are reported as 42% smaller than for the science quality data. The scaling factor has been removed from our archived solar flare data to reflect the true physical units.
Informe de actividad Solar-Geofísica 2002 Feb 27 2200 UTCPreparado por NOAA © SWPC y procesado por SpaceWeatherLive.com
Informe conjunto USAF/NOAA de actividad Solar y Geofísica
SDF Número 058 Publicado el 2200Z a las 27 Feb 2002IA. Análisis de regiones solares activas y de actividad desde 26-2100Z hasta 27-2100Z Solar activity was moderate. An M1/Sf flare occurred at
27/1558 UTC in Region 9839 (S18W75). This region also produced a few
C-class subflares. Growth in Regions 9842 (S19W63) and 9846 (S03W82)
appears to have stabilized and neither area has produced significant
flares in the past day. New Region 9850 (N27W51) emerged on the
disk.
IB. Pronóstico de la actividad solar
Solar activity is expected to be low
to moderate. Another low-level M-class flare is possible in any one
of a number of regions, including 9839 (S18W75), 9842 (S19W63), 9845
(N17E21), and 9846 (S03W82).
IIA. Resumen de la actividad geofísica 26-2100Z a 27-2100Z
The geomagnetic field was quiet to unsettled.
IIB. Pronóstico de la actividad geofísica
The geomagnetic field is
expected to be quiet to unsettled.
III. Probabilidades del evento 28 Feb a 02 Mar
| Clase M | 40% | 40% | 40% |
| Clase X | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| Protón | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| PCAF | green | ||
IV. Penticton 10.7cm flujo
Observado 27 Feb 199 Previsto 28 Feb-02 Mar 195/190/190 Media de 90 Días 27 Feb 223
V. Índices Geomagnéticos A
Observado Afr/Ap 26 Feb 008/008 Estimado Afr/Ap 27 Feb 006/008 Previsto Afr/Ap 28 Feb-02 Mar 005/008-005/008-005/005
VI. Probabilidades de Actividad Geomagnética 28 Feb a 02 Mar
| A. Latitudes Medias | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Activo | 15% | 15% | 15% |
| Tormenta Menor | 05% | 05% | 05% |
| Tormenta Mayor-Severa | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| B. Latitudes Altas | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Activo | 20% | 20% | 20% |
| Tormenta Menor | 05% | 05% | 05% |
| Tormenta Mayor-Severa | 01% | 01% | 01% |
All times in UTC
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